Wnba Basketball Picks - September 29, 2009

We take to game one of the WNBA Finals in the midst of a 5-0 run for +15.5 units over the last nine days. On the season, our WNBA picks are steamrolling at 58% (120-88) for +60 units. Today, we feature one premium play from the opening stanza of this season's championship series...

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	29-26 last 55 picks	53%	+$200
CFB	10-6 last 16 picks	63%	+$920
MLB	242-189 last 431 picks	56%	+$10690
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
WNBA	120-88 last 208 picks	58%	+$6060
TOTAL			+$30330

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Indiana at Phoenix (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Phoenix -4.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

There is a decided home-court advantage in the WNBA that shows home favorites win 66% of all games. So what becomes the matter of importance here is if the 4.5 points offered in this one can make a difference? My feeling is no, it does not. This is an Indiana team that peaked too soon during the season and although they remain a good team, they aren't playing at the same level. It has really shown itself on the road where a team at its peak was going 7-3 on the road, has now gone just 3-7 in their last 10 on the road, even more recently just 2-6. Phoenix appears to be peaking at the right time and playing with confidence. If there is one thing to note about this team, it is the fact when they win they win convincingly. They haven't had a good season because they are winning games at the buzzer. In their last 17 wins, dating all the way back to July 15, Phoenix has shown them winning them all by at least six points. The fact is that of their 27 wins this season, including the postseason, just one of them has been by fewer than six points. The points don't matter here, so I'm going with Phoenix.

WNBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• View our 2009 WNBA prior picks here.
• Updated today: free WNBA pick.
• Check out basketball blog here.
• Hop over to our WNBA prior picks here.
• Here we show our WNBA basketball power ratings.
• View WNBA sports book here.
• Here we show our WNBA against-the-spread records.

Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-26-2009
I have been dead on in the first two games between these clubs. I liked Phoenix in game one and Los Angeles in game two. I am going back to the Mercury in game three. As predicted, Los Angeles came ou...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-25-2009
As you know, I was on the Mercury big in game one of this match-up on the road. I couldn't see why they were getting points. Turns out they didn't need them. Well, now it's time to flip. C...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-23-2009
This should be a great series with the winner advancing to the Finals. Indiana is the top seed, coming in at 24-12. They dispatched of Washington in two games, winning by nine and seven points. Detroi...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-20-2009
The Storm escaped elimination in the closing seconds of the game on Friday night. Sue Bird's three-pointer with 10.7 seconds left, followed by a steal and layup with 5 seconds to go kept their sea...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-18-2009
The Atlanta Dream has made great strides. Here they are after a four-win season last year, in the post season against last year's champs the Detroit Shock. Atlanta came out guns a blazing against ...