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Basketball Betting Pick - September 29, 2008

We nailed both of our WNBA picks yesterday, good for +5.2 units. So far this month we are hitting 73% (19-7) for +23.4 units. Two more WNBA plays today with a 5-unit pick.

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: New York at Detroit (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Detroit -250 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 2)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 137 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

We rode the Shock at home in game two, and they didn't letdown, and will ride them again here. What appeared to be something that would work against them actually helped them, as game two was moved from The Palace in Auburn Hills to Eastern Michigan University - due to a scheduling conflict. Coach Laimbeer was cited as saying how loud it was with all the students, and expects it to be louder tonight. Detroit got a lift when Plenette Pierson played after dislocating her shoulder just a week ago. She provides an emotional lift as well as energy points and rebounds. The Shock got to the line 23 times, to the Liberty seven and out-rebounded them by 12, with 12 more points in the paint. It is what the Shock have done all season at home, so no reason why in the biggest game of the year to expect otherwise. The totals have dropped in this series going from 144 in game one, to 141 in game two, down to 137 here. It's no wonder, as an average of just 117.5 were scored in those two games. Now we get value going the other way. Detroit games have averaged 153 points per game this season at home! New York has gone 15-5 OVER following a game where they lost ATS. Detroit is 38-25 to the OVER in a game after being a favorite the previous game. The OVER also gets the call in this one.

WNBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-28-2008
The Eastern Conference Finals go to game two with the Liberty leading 1-0, coming off of a 4-point win at home vs the Shock. The result wasn't surprising as the Shock were simply a poor road ...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-23-2008
Detroit became a team like a fat cat - content off their road win in game 1 over Indiana, and came home relaxed thinking the series was over with two games in Detroit. Well, they ended up lo...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-22-2008
The Connecticut Sun evened their series with the New York Liberty on Saturday, and the series resumes tonight in Connecticut. The Sun have won six of their last seven at home, and stand at 14-4 overal...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-21-2008
Indiana is playing for their playoff lives here. Will they win? Certainly not. But, I expect them to give a top-notch effort and keep it closer than double-digits. After their easy opening game win, a...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-20-2008
The WNBA semifinal round between the Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty resumes tonight in Connecticut. The Liberty took game 1 by the score of 72-63, as the Sun connected on just 37% shooting and 4...

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