Basketball Free Picks - September 28, 2008

Over the past two weeks we are 17-7 (71%) run for +18.2 units. Today we have two picks...

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: New York at Detroit (3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Detroit -6 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Eastern Conference Finals go to game two with the Liberty leading 1-0, coming off of a 4-point win at home vs the Shock. The result wasn't surprising as the Shock were simply a poor road team all season. They finished the regular season losing nine of their last fifteen. They have been completely different at home where, aside from a team slump where they lost five of six (three of which were at home), they were a perfect 14-0 on the home hardwood. Those 14 wins included two double-digit easy wins vs the Liberty. New York was stiffled on offense in those losses where they shot a combined 34.6% while the Shock shot a combined 49.2%. Detroit shows up for the big ones at home, and I like them here to even the series.  

My ATS write-up pretty much sums it all up the reasons here. I'm also gonna look to grab even more on this game by backing Detroit on the moneyline. The Shock have owned the Liberty on this court and, dating back to last season, Detroit is 19-6 straight-up revenging a loss vs an opponent.

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Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-23-2008
Detroit became a team like a fat cat - content off their road win in game 1 over Indiana, and came home relaxed thinking the series was over with two games in Detroit. Well, they ended up lo...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-22-2008
The Connecticut Sun evened their series with the New York Liberty on Saturday, and the series resumes tonight in Connecticut. The Sun have won six of their last seven at home, and stand at 14-4 overal...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-21-2008
Indiana is playing for their playoff lives here. Will they win? Certainly not. But, I expect them to give a top-notch effort and keep it closer than double-digits. After their easy opening game win, a...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-20-2008
The WNBA semifinal round between the Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty resumes tonight in Connecticut. The Liberty took game 1 by the score of 72-63, as the Sun connected on just 37% shooting and 4...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-19-2008
Detroit opened as a mere one-point favorite but this line has since moved to 2.5. I like the value now represented on the moneyline with the home team. Detroit has historically handled the Fever, but ...