Wnba Picks - September 21, 2008

We went 2-1 last night but suffered the slight loss. We are 14-6 (70%) for +16.8 units over the past week and a half. Today we come back with picks in both games...

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Indiana at Detroit (3:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Indiana +9.5 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

Indiana is playing for their playoff lives here. Will they win? Certainly not. But, I expect them to give a top-notch effort and keep it closer than double-digits. After their easy opening game win, and given their strong home record and histortic dominance over the Fever (six straight wins), it would not be surprising to see Detroit get caught sleeping a bit here. The overconfidence has shown already a bit as Detroit guard Deanna Nolan said after game one, "They have trouble with our personnel, our starting five. It doesn't matter who they try to stop, somebody else is going to get off." Home favorites off three straight wins cover the spread just 36% of the time in the WNBA and the Shock are just 6-15 ATS since last season as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Over that span, they are also 8-7 ATS at home after scoring 75+ points last game. I like the Fever to cover here.

The venue in this series is all important. Los Angeles won at home in game one, making them 3-0 vs. Seattle at home this season. But, the Sparks have lost four straight games in Seattle by an average of 17 points per game! On the road, LA has a losing record. At home, the Storm are 16-1 (and 13-4 ATS)! This line is way too low. Yes, the Sparks are a good team. But, Seattle is 9-1 ATS this season at home vs. winning teams. I like the home team to even the series tonight.

WNBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Here we show our WNBA blog.
• Check out our updated WNBA prior picks.
• Don't forget to read our WNBA pick here.
• Updated today: basketball sports book.
• Here we show our WNBA top teams.
• Don't forget to visit our 2007 WNBA basketball season prior picks.

Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-20-2008
The WNBA semifinal round between the Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty resumes tonight in Connecticut. The Liberty took game 1 by the score of 72-63, as the Sun connected on just 37% shooting and 4...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-19-2008
Detroit opened as a mere one-point favorite but this line has since moved to 2.5. I like the value now represented on the moneyline with the home team. Detroit has historically handled the Fever, but ...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-17-2008
The Eastern Conference Semifinals will begin in New York as the Connecticut Sun take on the New York Liberty. The Sun opened the season looking like the class of the WNBA with an 8-1 start, but the fi...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-14-2008
Yes, Houston is a better team than Chicago overall. But, this game is being played in Chicago and that makes all the difference. At home, the Sky are a .500 team. on the road, the Comets have lost 13 ...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-September-12-2008
The Phoenix Mercury travel to Minnesota to play the Lynx tonight. This game will go a long way to determine who finishes in the basement of the WNBA West as they both enter with identical 15-17 record...