Free Wnba Basketball Pick - June 28, 2008

We went 2-0 grabbing +7.3 units yesterday as we nailed both our 5-unit selection on the Atlanta Dream (+15.5) ATS as well as the over. Over the last week and a half our WNBA picks are up +20.7 units and hitting 61% (19-12). Six plays today with a 4-unit pick.

WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
MLB	126-84 last 210 picks	60%	+$11120
WNBA	19-12 last 31 picks	61%	+$2070
TOTAL			+$13190

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Minnesota at San Antonio (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Minnesota +160 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.8)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 153 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)

This is a pivotal game for the Lynx and the Silver Stars. Both teams bring an identical 8-6 record into this one as each team is trying to stay within striking distance of Western Conference-leader Los Angeles. The Lynx looked like one of best teams in the WNBA early on as they opened 6-1, but fell hard over their next seven going 1-6. The team that opened the season has been the one showing up again as the Lynx have bounced back to win two straight. They have found their way back via the defensive end of the court as they have allowed fewer points in their last three games combined than any other three-game stretch on the season. San Antonio has followed the same pattern as the Lynx, but in opposite fashion as they opened 3-4, then ran off six of seven, but now has dropped two in a row. The defense has disappeared, but when they were losing before, it was the defense that brought them back to life. This presents a good opportunity for the Lynx, 8-1 outside of their losing streak, and a renewed defensive commitment to grab a win on the road, in a game also played UNDER the posted total.

This looks like an easy one for the Shock, but we don't see it that way. You have to go to school on the emotional significance of this game for the Shock, who are coming off of two highly-emotional games back-to-back with the Sun and a third coming shortly. All you have to do is look what happened last night. Off the same two emotional games the Shock were a no-show at home last night against the winless Dream, needing OT to put them away. Well here are the Shock facing the same emotional letdown situation, and they aren't in front of the home-town fans either, making it an even more challenging game. The Sky has played Connecticut, LA, and Minnesota to within six points at home and this is a great spot for them to steal one.

Indiana played their last game in New York where both teams played into the 100s. It was a game that by the raw score looked like a high-scoring affair and may have added a few points to this total. The Fever has played five other road games, and has held the opponents to 68.8 points per game. They obviously don't get themselves into a full-court game. Houston opened the season with five straight losses, but has patched things up on the defensive end, and the last five home games have seen the opponent average less than 70 ppg. This game has the makings of a game played in the 60s, and we will back the UNDER in this one.

You have to question just how good is this New York team. They have had a very favorable schedule to this point as they have played eight of their 13 games at home. The five road games has left them with a single win and that was a close call at winless Atlanta. They have been out-scored by 51 points in their other four, or by almost 13 per game. The biggest reason is that although they can score, they play no defense on the road as they have yielded 85 points per game in their last four. Sacramento has struggled at home against the top two teams in the league in Connecticut and Detroit, but has beaten everyone else. This looks like a very winnable game against a Liberty team that has shown nothing on the road despite a good overall record. We also like the OVER here, as the Liberty are giving up points in the mid-eighties on the road. We project this one closer to the 160 range.

Results: 5-1

WNBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Take a look at our WNBA betting here.
• View our updated basketball picks blog.
• Don't forget to read our WNBA prior predictions here.
• View free basketball pick here.
• Hop over to our 2007 basketball picks season results here.

Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-27-2008
Rumor has it the Atlanta Dream is considering a nickname change to the Atlanta Nightmares. The Dream has yet to earn a WNBA win this season through 13 games. To their credit they have been trying to m...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-26-2008
These teams will meet for the second time in three days and ultimately they will play three times over a six-game period. This series will go a long way to determine who comes out of the Eastern Confe...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-24-2008
It is never a good sign for a team in the WNBA to have it going and then have a three-game home stretch and drop two of the three games by a combined 24 points. That has to be a concern for the Monarc...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-22-2008
The Atlanta Dream has started 0-12 and the win column may be a challenge all season long. Outside of Betty Lennox at 18.9 points per game, the scoring has been very inconsistent and so has the shootin...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-20-2008
Detroit is just one of two WNBA teams that remain unblemished at home. Tonight they will face a Minnesota team that is going through a bad stretch having dropped their last three. The Shock has not be...