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Basketball Free Picks - June 27, 2009

We connected on three of our WNBA plays last night, but gave back a couple units. Our WNBA season-to-date mark rolls on as we are 24-18 for +16.5 units. Today we look to add to that mark with another two premium WNBA plays.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
WNBA 24-18 last 42 picks 57%+$1650
MLB 42-31 last 73 picks 58%+$2190
NBA 299-237 last 536 picks 56%+$12460
NFL 72-44 last 116 picks 62%+$7320
TOTAL  +$23620
 

 

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Atlanta at Connecticut (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Connecticut -7.5 (-105) (risk 2 to win 1.9)

This is a much-improved Atlanta team, but on the road they have just three wins in their WNBA franchise history. One of those wins was their only road win of the season and was at Connecticut. You can be sure that the Sun have heard about that and will be ready to give it to them in this one. Atlanta gave the Sun a scare last season as their 0-13 team went into Connecticut and forced the Sun into OT. When they came back again the next time, the Sun laid a 26-point beating on them. The Dream also have the disadvantage here of playing on back-to-back nights, where they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five. The Dream beat Chicago a season ago, and the next game lost to them by 13. They beat Indiana and the next game lost to them by 15 points. The other two wins did not get re-matched yet. The Sun will be next in line to get up big for this Dream team, so I'm going with Connecticut here. 
Game: Phoenix at Minnesota (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 178.5 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)

The Minnesota Lynx looked like a team on the rise, until Simeone Augustus went down with an injury. They immediately changed their style and tempo and went from a team that averaged 87 points per game with Augustus to a team that has scored 65.5 ppg without her. They went from 172 total points a game down to 139. Phoenix likes to get up-and-down the court, but they aren't going to have a willing partner here. When you start to approach the 180 mark in a WNBA game, you need both teams willing to run and Minnesota just isn't playing that way since Augustus went down. It isn't just evident from the scores it is evident from the pace of the game. Their first six games with her saw 133 shots attempted per game, while the last two without her has shown 116. This one is based on the whole picture for the Lynx, but that picture has changed dramatically, so I look for this one to go UNDER the total.

Results: 1-1

WNBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-26-2009
Things have certainly changed from a year ago. It took the Atlanta Dream all season to win four games a year ago and have already won three this season in the early going. This is obviously a differen...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-23-2009
There is no doubt the Atlanta Dream is an improved team as they stand at 3-3 on the season and are already 2-1 at home. It took the Dream 22 games to get their third win a year ago, and finished with ...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-21-2009
Atlanta goes for their third straight win - something they have surprisingly never done. If they get it, they would actually match their win total from last season! But, I don't think it's goi...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-20-2009
These teams are both coming off of losses last night, and back-to-back games could find the defenses a bit lax here. These are changed teams from a year ago, and those changes find the Mystics going f...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-June-19-2009
The Chicago Sky is off to their best start in franchise history, mostly do to a favorable early schedule. The Sky has finished as a sub-.500 team in all three of their previous WNBA seasons. They have...

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