Free Wnba Predictions - August 30, 2009

We broke out on the WNBA floor yesterday going 3-1 for +7.2 units including a win with our 5-unit Game of the Month on San Antonio. We are now up almost +20 units on the season and today, we roll out another three premium plays including a pair of 5-unit picks.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
WNBA	90-74 last 164 picks	55%	+$1840
MLB	191-132 last 323 picks	59%	+$14510
NBA	299-237 last 536 picks	56%	+$12460
NFL	72-44 last 116 picks	62%	+$7320
TOTAL			+$36130

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Chicago at New York (4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on New York -4 (+100) (risk 5 to win 5)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 145.5 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)

Chicago beat New York by 19 points on Friday night. I really like the Liberty to exact some revenge here at home, after that embarrassing loss. Heck, it really wasn't that shocking of a result given the fact that the Sky were 9-4 at home going into that game. But, unfortunately for them, they are 4-11 on the road, giving up a ridiculous 82.8 points per game, losing on average by nearly ten points per game. New York is essentially a .500 team at home which isn't overly inspiring but it's much better than what Chicago brings on the road here. And they are motivated by that big loss. Chicago has only covered just three of thirteen games this season vs. teams that hit 33%+ from three (New York is 35.8%). The Sky are also just 3-10 ATS this season coming off a home game. New York is 13-5 ATS the past two seasons after a loss to a division rival (9-2 when that loss came on the road). And, if that loss was by 10+ points, the Liberty are perfect (8-0 ATS) in their next game. In fact, New York is 14-1 ATS off any double-digit road loss the past three seasons! In their lifetime in the WNBA, the Liberty are 18-4 ATS at home after a 15+ point loss! So New York should get it done here. I also like this game to go OVER. Chicago is 9-6 OVER on the road this season and 10-7 OVER in division games. New York is 8-5 OVER at home and 11-6 OVER in division games. When playing a road game against a losing team the past two seasons, the Sky are 9-2 OVER. They are also 8-1 OVER during that span as a road dog of six or fewer points. The past three seasons, New York is 12-3 OVER when coming off a double-digit road loss.

New York is revenging a big 19-point road loss to the Sky here and that is about all we need to know. In the history of the WNBA in August/September games, favorites coming off a double-digit loss to a division rival are 86-30 straight up. Home teams revenging a double-digit loss to a division rival are 68-38. New York specifically is 7-1 straight-up the past two seasons coming off a 10+ point loss to a division rival. They are also 12-3 off any double-digit road loss. Chicago is 4-16 in all games the past two seasons after playing a game as a favorite. They are also 5-12 off a home win. I like New York, motivated by the big road loss last game, to come out and take care of business here.

Results: 2-1

WNBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to read our 2009 basketball prior picks season results here.
• Read our WNBA pick here.
• View our updated blog basketball picks.
• Here we show our basketball prior picks.
• Hop over to our WNBA basketball power ratings here.
• Don't forget to read our basketball sportsbook reviews here.
• Hop over to our WNBA basketball ATS records here.

Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-29-2009
It has been a year of frustration for both of these teams, as both expected to contend again have failed. There is one very big factor at work here and as the season gets long, and teams outside the p...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-28-2009
A season that started with so much promise for the Lynx has turned disastrous. They have dropped their last six games and nine of their last 10. It hasn't exactly been a picnic for the Monarchs ei...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-27-2009
While neither of these teams aren't the caliber they were a year ago, they are both good candidates to make the playoffs, so this one should be played with intensity. While the Sun is 4-8 on the r...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-25-2009
The Detroit Shock are a long way from where they finished a year ago, cutting down the nets and claiming a WNBA Championship. This team has battled injuries and a coaching change, but still sits ...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-22-2009
The Detroit Shock has certainly been disappointing this season. After a WNBA Championship, they were expected to contend again. Injuries took their toll early on this team as they got out of the gate ...