Wnba Sports Picks - August 20, 2009

Today, we are on the WNBA floor with one premium pick. On the season, we are 75-65 and look to add to that tonight!

Today's WNBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Indiana at Sacramento (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 148.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

You don't have to look too far to see why this Sacramento team has struggled this season. They have had trouble on offense as they have been held to the 60s or less on nine occasions already this season. A closer look shows where most of those low-output games come from. The top five defensive teams in the league, in terms of points allowed are LA, IND, SEA, CT, and NY. The Monarchs have played five home games against these top defensive teams and have produced 61, 56, 56, 61 and 66 points. That works out to just 60 points per game against the top defensive teams, and Indiana is ranked No. 2. The Monarchs’ output at home against the top three is an even worse 58.5 ppg, and they have not topped 61. That means if these numbers hold, the Fever must produce 88 points - something they have only done twice this season, both coming against the bottom two teams in most points allowed per game (not counting OT against Connecticut). The Monarchs have not allowed 88 to anyone, except for Phoenix, or in OT, so this number is just simply set too high and I'll go with the UNDER here.

WNBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Check out 2009 WNBA basketball picks here.
• Don't forget to visit our WNBA handicapping.
• Don't forget to read our blog basketball picks here.
• Take a look at our WNBA prior predictions here.
• View WNBA power rankings here.
• View our WNBA sportsbook reviews here.
• Take a look at our WNBA against-the-spread records here.

Check out the last five WNBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-19-2009
There were high hopes in LA that this Sparks team would be hanging a WNBA Championship banner at the conclusion of the season, but those thoughts are long gone. It has been disappointing to say the le...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-18-2009
The Seattle Storm has dropped six straight games ATS, but remain a top team in the league. I expect them to bring their "A" game to Detroit tonight as they will be out to revenge a three-poi...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-16-2009
Washington is definitely the better team and playing at home. But, the Mystics allow 78 points per game (nearly 84 per game over their last five), and that's a bad defense to back when g...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-15-2009
The Storm has dropped six straight games to the spread, but remain one of the top teams in the WNBA. They enter this one with a 13-10 mark, and certainly a viable playoff team. I think Atlanta has had...

WNBA-Basketball-Picks-August-14-2009
The Sky has been a no-show on the road this season as they have just three wins to show for 13 games. That is not a new trend for this team. The Sky has been part of the WNBA now for three years, and ...