Free Nhl Hockey Picks - November 11, 2008

Today we are on the NHL ice with a stacked early-week card of four picks with one matinee game.

Today's NHL Hockey Picks:

Game: Philadelphia at New York Islanders (2:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia -148 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2)

The Islanders have been living in a nightmare, as they have just two wins to show for their last nine efforts on the ice. On average the Isles’ have been getting out-scored by a goal a game - one of the losses came during this stretch at Philly in OT. The Flyers have already seen five of their 13 games end in either OT, or a shootout, but in their last seven they have been the opposite of the Rangers where they have out-scored their opponents by a goal a game. There is a big gap between these teams right now, and I'm going with the Flyers on the road here.

The Canadiens have gotten off to a very quick start as they have dropped just four games so far this season including two in shootouts. They suffered only two losses in their first 10 games, but suddenly have now dropped two straight. The problem has been on defense and ultimately, behind the net. A team that allowed a total of just 20 goals in their first nine games has suddenly allowed 14 in their last three. That takes them from allowing 2.2 in the first nine games to 4.67 in their last three - and wins are suddenly becoming losses. The Senators have put together some good road efforts and are above .500 on the road for the season. The Timing as well as their recent matchups looks good for the dog here, which has shown the Senators dominating as they have been winners in eight of the last 11 meetings. Live dog here, so I'll back the Senators.

A rematch of the Stanley Cup Finals Series from a year ago pits the Penguins against the Cup-winning Red Wings. Both of these teams are off to good starts and trying to get back to the Promised Land once again. Their series last year showed five of the six games scoring five goals or less, and they did not meet in the regular season. You can be sure this one will have the same playoff-like intensity from the season finale last year. The Penguins have played to a 14-6 mark to the UNDER in their last 20 road tilts, while the Red Wings have been 8-3-2 to the UNDER in their last 13 home games against a team with a winning road record. Playoff intensity and history both say UNDER here.

The Dallas Stars are struggling out of the gate. They have just not been able to score on the road where they have averaged a meager two goals a game, producing two or less in seven of their nine road games this season. The story has been a similar one for the Kings at home. Amazingly, they have been shutout three times on home ice already this season. The Kings have now played five straight to the UNDER when their opponent has allowed two goals or less in their last game, while the Stars have played to a 4-1-1- UNDER mark against the Pacific Division in their last six. This one surely has the signature of a 2-1, 3-2 type of game, so I'll back the UNDER here.

Results: 2-2

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Check out the last five NHL Hockey Picks Newsletters:

NHL-Hockey-Picks-November-10-2008
Except for a pair of shootout losses the Washington Capitals have not lost a game at home on the season. It goes a long way to say they have been good at the defensive end as they have only netted 18 ...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-November-08-2008
The Stanley Cup runner-up Penguins have been in a lot of close games with five decided by either a shoot-out, or OT with two others by one goal, so they certainly haven't been running away from an...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-November-07-2008
The Sabres have a hot-hand in goal right now in Ryan Miller as he has combined to record shutouts in his last two behind the net for the Sabres. It is a good thing because the Sabres have only managed...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-November-06-2008
After getting out of the gate in sizzling fashion at 4-0, The Oilers have fallen on hard times, as they have recorded just two wins in their last eight games. The biggest problem has been behind the n...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-November-04-2008
Both Carolina and Toronto have gotten out of the gate above the .500 mark in early NHL action. Carolina has been in either a tight game, or losing big as their three non-OT losses have all been by two...