NHL Hockey Premium Edition |
March 23, 2007 |
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darrell,
Won 3.4 units yesterday as our 5-unit play hit. Tonight we like two games...
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We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Toronto at Buffalo (7:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Toronto +181 (risk 2 to win 3.6)
Toronto is actually a better team on the road than they are at home. Away from home, they score more and win more. They have a winning record vs. winning teams this season. Buffalo has been tough all year but right now their defense is a bit lackadaisical. They have shown they are susceptible to letting down at home as the Sabres are just 5-7 at home this year vs. teams at 40%-49% winning percentage. This year Toronto is 10-5 on the road revenging a home loss. And, they are 7-1 on the road with double-revenge as they have here. Toronto has a shot at the upset here and we'll ride them at this very nice price.
Game: Los Angeles at Chicago (8:30 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Chicago -115 (risk 4 to win 3.5)
Chicago hasn't beaten too many teams this year but LA is one. The Blackhawks, with just 27 wins on the season, has won all three vs. the Kings this year. LA is just 10-25 on the road this season, allowing nearly 4 goals per game. That's good for Chicago as their problem is scoring. The Blackhawks actually play good defense at home (2.7 per game allowed). The Kings getting only +105? This team is 2-12 this season on the road vs. losing teams! They are 0-7 on the road vs. teams scoring under 2.6 goals per game. And, they are 2-15 after having won two out of their last three games. Chicago represents great value here at just -115.
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