darrell,

Went 2-1 last night including the win on the 4-unit play for a +3 unit night. Tonight three more picks...

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We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Nashville at Detroit (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 5.5 -123 (risk 2 to win 1.6)

Each of the last five meetings between these teams has resulted in no less than 7 goals being scored. Nashville averages 3.4 goals per game and 3.5 vs. division foes. Lately their average defense has been worse than average (3.2 per game over their last five games). They have gone OVER the total in eight of their last ten games. Detroit averages 3.6 per game at home and against division opponents. Their defense, ususally very tough, has allowed 3.2 per game over their last five. Detroit has also gone OVER in eight of their last ten games. Take the OVER here.

Ten of the last thirteen meetings between Calgary and Colorado have gone OVER the total. In their last five meetings, they have averaged 8.6 total goals! Five of the last six Calgary games have gone OVER as well as nine of the last twelve. Colorado has played in three low-scoring games but prior to that, they went OVER in 12 of 14 games. They are 9-3 OVER on the season following two straight UNDERs. Calgary is 16-12 OVER on the road while Colorado is 18-15 OVER at home. Colorado is 21-9 OVER vs. good golies (92%+ save ratio). They are also 10-3 OVER vs. poor defensive teams that allow 30+ shots on goal per game (Calgary allows 30.4 per game).

Are we nuts? Well, we've had a lot of success recently backing huge underdogs so we'll take another shot here with Columbus. Columbus has trouble scoring but they have actually been playing some very good defense of late, leading to four wins in their last eight games. They have held four of those eight opponents to 2 goals or less and haven't given up more than 3 goals in six straight games.  Anaheim has been rolling, having won five straight and seven of eight. This is a dangerous spot for them as they won't be able to get up for a matchup vs. Columbus. Favored teams off 2+ home wins facing an opponent off a road loss are actually just a 50% proposition. Columbus is 5-1 in their last six games vs. great defensive opponents (allowing 2.5 or less goals per game). They are also 6-2 in their last eight vs. good offensive teams that average 30+ shots on goal per game. Anaheim has shown they can fall prey to the letdown. They are just 5-7 this season at home vs. horrible defensive teams that allow 3+ goals per game. They are 4-6 at home vs. teams that have been outscored by 0.5+ goals per game. We'll look for a Ducks letdown here and back Columbus.