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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NHL Hockey Premium Edition
March 10, 2007

darrell,

1-2 last night as we took a flyer on the big underdog that didn't come through. Our winner was the big 4-unit play. We're hitting 57% over the past three weeks. Tonight we have four selections include another 4-unit play.

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The Wunderdog


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Premium Picks

We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Washington at New York Islanders (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 -117 (risk 3 to win 2.6)

NY Islanders games go UNDER at home at a 67% clip this year (22-11)! Washington has scored just two total goals in their last three games while the Islanders have scored just 3 or fewer goals in five of their last seven games. The Capitals are 20-11 UNDER this season vs. losing teams. New York is 12-4 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or less this season and 9-1 UNDER the past two seasons at home off a game in which they scored under two goals.


Game: Ottawa at Toronto (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 -107 (risk 4 to win 3.7)

The last three times these teams met, no more than six goals were scored. Ottawa is 17-13 UNDER on the road this season and they are playing good defense right now. Toronto is 18-13 UNDER at home this year and they are not scoring right now at all. They have posted 1 goal performances three times in the last five games. Honestly, Toronto is looking at 0-2 goals tonight which puts a lot of pressure on Ottawa to cover this number by themselves. Ottawa is 25-13 UNDER this season on the road vs. good offensive teams the past two seasons while this season Toronto is 14-5 UNDER in their last 19 vs. good offensive teams that average 2.9+ goals per game. Toronto is also 21-13 UNDER following an UNDER last game.


Game: Atlanta at Florida (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Florida +1.5 -243 (risk 3 to win 1.2)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 6 +108 (risk 3 to win 3.2)

Atlanta's been on a tear winning five straight. But only one of those came on the road. In that game they were favored and won by a goal. Now after three cupcake home games, they travel to Florida and it won't be as easy. Road favorites that are scoring 2.9+ goals per game off four wins by 2+ goals are only 11-27 (29%) over the past decade as lines get out of whack. It's just hard to sustain that kind of performance night after night. Atlanta is in fact 5-11 this season after having won 5+ out of their last 7 games. Florida is 9-1 this season following two games in which they scored less than three goals. Take Florida +1.5 goals here. Only once in the last eight matchups between these teams has more than six goals been scored. Atlanta is 19-13 UNDER on the road and they have played in only one game that went OVER in their last six. Florida is a more balanced team having split their home games OVER-UNDER. They can score but also play solid defense. On the road vs. poor defensive teams, Atlanta is 10-3 UNDER this season. Florida is 23-13 UNDER vs. great offensive teams (3+ goals per game) and 21-14 UNDER vs. terrible defensive teams (3+ goals per game). Finally, Atlanta is 14-3 UNDER on the road after playing in a very high scoring game (8+ total goals) the past two seasons.


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The information in this newsletter is based on opinion is intended for informational purposes only. No guaranteees or warranties are implied. Use this information at your own risk. Subscription to this newsletter is predicated on acceptance of Wunderdog Sports Picks website terms.

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The Wunderdog

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