Nhl Hockey Picks - March 09, 2010

We return to the ice tonight with a stacked card of seven premium picks including a 5-unit selection. Over the last four and a half months, our NHL picks are 261-186 for just under 60% and +147 units.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	46-29 last 75 picks	61%	+$4060
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	196-178 last 374 picks	52%	+$570
NHL	261-186 last 447 picks	58%	+$14680
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$39210

Today's NHL Hockey Picks:

Game: Nashville at Atlanta (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Nashville -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Nashville Predators have had one hiccup on the road, where they went winless on a four-game trip. They have surrounded that 0-4 with a 15-8 mark on the road. The Thrashers came out of the break very offensive, pounding out 10 goals in two games, but have fallen sharply in the last two scoring just 2 times. This is also a bad spot for the Thrashers who have not done well playing their fourth game in six nights as they stand in at just 1-6 overall in their last seven. The Predators have taken advantage of a days rest as they have turned in a 21-8 mark following a day off the ice. I'll go with Nashville here.

Boston is without Marc Savard here but I think the rest of the team steps up and wins this game. This team is used to playing without him, after all as he missed 23 games earlier in the season. The Bruins have been quite good on the road this season, posting a near .500 mark. Toronto has been bad everywhere going 11-19 even at home, thanks to an anemic offense. In division games this year, this team has managed just 2.3 goals per game and in their last five games they have scored a total of just 6 goals. When facing a winning team the Leafs are just 9-20 this season including 1-7 in their last eight games. They are also just 3-13 this season after back-to-back road games. Take the Bruins here.

The Vancouver Canucks continue to be an orphan team with the Olympics having taken place in their home city. This represents the 13th straight road game for the Canucks, and they have held up very well. The Canucks have a winning record on the trip, and have been revitalized by the break winning three of four since. The Avalanche has not been finding the net with a great deal of frequency, and their 7 goals last time out was more than a fluke, than a cure. They have played 15 of their last 23 to the UNDER. One of the reasons is that in those 15 UNDERs, the Avalanche scored less than 2 goals per game, so that puts them at 65.2% of their last 23 averaging under 2. The Canucks have taken on winning teams with a great deal of success at 20-8 in their last 28, while the Avalanche is 1-5 in their last six as a dog. The Avalanche is also 14-2 to the UNDER vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. I'll go with Vancouver and the UNDER here.

The Avalanche has been grinding out UNDERs over their last 23, and one reason is the average of less than 2 goals in those 15 UNDERs over the last 23 games. Vancouver on the other hand has dominated winning teams at 20-8 while Colorado has had no fight as a dog when facing a better team as they are just 1-5 in their last six. The Avs will have trouble scoring vs. a team that is taking out winning teams, which means lay the wood on the -1.5 puckline, so grab Vancouver laying the 1.5 on the puckline.

Since the Olympic break, the Senators have looked like they have a hangover. They have lost three in a row, getting outscored 10-3. The Oilers have won two in a row - big upsets over Minnesota and New Jersey. Can Edmonton pull of a third-straight upset? It's possible, but it's asking a lot. I do like them however, to at least keep this game close. Ottawa is just 13-17 on the road this season, scoring 2.4 goals per game. Asking them to win this game on the road by 2+ goals is just too much, especially given how they are playing. Ottawa just doesn't take care of business vs. poor teams. Over the past three seasons, the Senators are just 39-44 straight-up vs. teams that allow 3+ goals per game. They are only 13-18 vs. teams at .250 to .400. I like Edmonton +1.5 here. I also like the UNDER. Ottawa is 17-13 UNDER on the road this season and four of their last five have gone UNDER. Edmonton is 21-13 UNDER at home this year. On the road vs. poor teams (those outscored by .5+ goals per game), Ottawa is 21-12 UNDER the past two seasons. And, Edmonton is 11-3 UNDER in non-conference games this season. Take the Oilers on the puck line and the UNDER.

Results: 4-3

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• Read our blog NHL picks here.
• Read our 2009 NHL prior pick season results here.

Check out the last five NHL Hockey Picks Newsletters:

NHL-Hockey-Picks-March-07-2010
Detroit is 37-24 UNDER on the season and they are facing an excellent defense here. Chicago has allowed just 2.2 goals per game in home games this season (2.1 in division games overall going 11-6 to t...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-March-06-2010
Do the Toronto Maple Leafs have something on the Ottawa Senators? The last meeting saw the Maple Leafs absolutely abuse the Senators in a 5-0 shutout win, a game they dominated in every facet. They ce...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-March-05-2010
The Chicago Blackhawks have been a very difficult team to beat in Chicago, where they have suffered just six losses on the season. They have really gotten it done on the defensive end, and in front of...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-March-04-2010
The Olympic break was very untimely for the Bruins, who after a nine-game winless streak rattled off four wins in a row. They resumed play with a decisive 4-1 loss at home to Montreal. It is very evid...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-March-03-2010
The Redwings closed with a win before the break, won last night and I could see this team going on a big run. This is a team that over the past seven seasons, including this one, is 186-52 at home, so...