|
Nhl Picks - June 12, 2009A rematch of last year's Stanley Cup Finals has reached a game seven. We are on an 11-1 run (92%!) in the NHL Playoffs for +33.7 units and this star-studded matchup is met with a pair of premium picks including a 5-unit pick!
 Today's NHL Hockey Picks: Well it is the game every team wants to be in when the NHL season starts, and that is a game seven in the NHL Finals. This is what every player dreams of - the biggest game of the sport, on the biggest stage. This one has held serve all the way through, each team winning on home ice through all six games. The problem the Penguins face is Detroit beat them last year in the Finals and they will beat them again. The Penguins have not been able to sniff a win in this series on the road. They have been outscored by a huge 11-2 margin. That makes the two-year run in the Finals between these two teams 21-6 in favor of the Red Wings playing in Detroit. That is a big obstacle, showing lots of distance between these teams. The Penguins didn't even score in three of the six games! Why has it been so difficult for Pittsburgh to win in Detroit? The answer is easy to find. The Red Wings has out-shot the Penguins 213-159 in Detroit over the last two years in the Finals or by nine per game. They have also had a 13-minute advantage in penalties. Give a team nine free shots and +13 in penalty minutes a game, and you’re looking at the results – total domination! We have less than 2-1 odds on the Red Wings here yet they have won 83.3% of their playoff games at home vs. Pittsburgh, which equates closer to four to one odds. They are also 50-17 in their last 67 games as a home favorite which equates to three to one odds. They are also 11-1 at home in the playoffs this year and 20-3 over the last two years which is closer to seven to one odds. It kind of makes the 1.90-1 odds here look pretty good doesn't it? I'll go with the Detroit Red Wings to win their second-straight Stanley Cup.Game: Pittsburgh at Detroit (8:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Detroit -1.5 goals +170 (puckline) (risk 3 to win 5.1) I'm not sure what I can add to the game and moneyline write-up here, it is all pretty clear cut to me where the value is. I also like the puckline as the Penguins would already be 0-3 here to the puckline having been outscored in Detroit by an 11-2 count. Anytime you can get 1.90 or so odds on a team that has played 23 playoff games over the last two years, and has won them by a combined score of 71-33, allowing 1.4 goals a game, and has already shutout their opponent in half of the six meetings, there is value. Detroit has covered the puckline at home in 56.3% of their playoff games over the last two years, which would make you a pile of money on a straight bet, but getting 1.90-1 odds makes this loaded with value. The Penguins have had six chances to be better than the +1.5 puckline in Detroit, and have succeeded just once, and are 0-3 this year. Detroit is the better team, and you know they'll be focused here. I’m going with Detroit on the puckline as well. NHL Hockey Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NHL Hockey Picks Newsletters: NHL-Hockey-Picks-June-09-2009 NHL-Hockey-Picks-June-06-2009 NHL-Hockey-Picks-June-02-2009 NHL-Hockey-Picks-May-30-2009 NHL-Hockey-Picks-May-27-2009 |
     RSS
FEEDS
Sports Picks
HOME
TO: |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
