We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Buffalo at Ottawa (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 -111 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
These two teams put up 11 goals two days ago in Buffalo, driving this line up to 6.5. But this is in Ottawa where 23 of the last 33 games in this matchup have gone UNDER the total. Buffalo is 16-13 UNDER on the road while Ottawa is 18-14 UNDER at home. After laying it on the line and getting a win over a division rival, Buffalo is 10-2 UNDER this season. Ottawa is 17-8 UNDER a division game as well. They are also 10-1 UNDER the past two seasons at home after allowing 6+ goals.
Game: Detroit at Nashville (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Nashville -147 (risk 3 to win 2)
We faded Detroit last night as they lost as a -275 favorite. We expect a hangover here as they travel to face a very good team that has gotten a heck of a lot better with the addition of Peter Forsberg. Detroit is just one game over .500 on the road this season. While they score about 3.5 per game at home, they get just 2.6 per game on the road. Their defense also goes from great at home to average on the road. Nashville pours in 4.0 per game at home while holding opponents to 2.5. This is a test for them that they really want to pass. They must defeat teams like Detroit at home if they hope to win it all this year. The Predators are 26-9 at home the past two seasons vs. teams scoring 3+ goals per game. The Redwings are just 3-9 this season when playing on back-to-back days and their last game was a long OT one. Take the Predators here in a great spot.
Game: Colorado at Los Angeles (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 6 -124 (risk 2 to win 1.6)
Six of the last seven times these two teams have met, the game has gone OVER the total. They played to 9 goals on December 9th, 11 goals on November 7th and 7 goals on October 23rd of this season. Can both of these teams score 3 goals each? Yes! Colorado averages 3.1 per game on the road and 3.3 allowed. Over their last five games they are scoring 4 and allowing 4.4 per game. LA scores 2.6 per game at home and allows 3.0. Colorado is 11-2 OVER this season vs. teams that allow 19%+ power play conversion (LA allows 21.5%). Nine of Colorado's eleven February games have gone OVER and we like this one to make it ten of twelve.
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