Free Hockey Pick - February 07, 2009

We missed the mark on our two plays last night. Today we are back on the ice with four premium selections including a 5-unit pick.

Today's NHL Hockey Picks:

Game: Buffalo at Ottawa (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Ottawa -104 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 4.8)

The Senators are having a tough time lately as they have now dropped four straight games. The good news is that they have been knocking on the door with three of their losses by a single goal, and overall they have done a good job on home ice. The Sabres have been inconsistent on the road and just 4-5 over their last nine on the highway. This is a bad spot for them as they are playing their third game in four nights where they are just 5-16 in that situation the last 21 times it has come up. It doesn't help them that it is coming up against the Senators as they are just 5-11 in the last 16 meetings with Ottawa. I'll go with Ottawa in this one.

The Islanders started the season doing well on the road as they posted wins in five of their first 10 games. What has happened since has been brutal. The Islanders have won just one time in their last 15 on the road, so there simply isn't any value on this team especially with a low moneyline pinned on the Lightning in this one. The Lightning have dropped four straight themselves, but three of those were on the road. They return home for this one where they have been 3-1 in their last four. The Islanders are cashing just 24 of their last 78 as a road dog, and I don't expect them to be cashing this one either. The Lightning gets the call.

The only thing that is Blue right now is the opponents trying to score on St. Louis. The last six games have seen the Blues post two shutouts, and allow less than two goals a game on average. The Avalanche is coming off an extended home stand of eight games and must take to the road for the first time since mid-January. That might be bad news as the Avalanche has netted just 18 goals in their last 10 road games or 1.8 per contest. Combine those numbers with the fact that these teams have produced a record of 9-3-1 to the UNDER in their last 13 meetings and we have an UNDER in the making, and that's the call here.

The Canucks have been one of the NHL's most consistent teams as they have done pretty much equally well either at home or on the road. The Blackhawks are now in their sixth road game in a row, and they will be apt to be slowing down here. They have really been a low-scoring team in the role of a favorite where they are 10-1-1 to the UNDER in their last 12 as a chalk. Vancouver plays right into that hand with their own 10-4 mark to the UNDER in their last 14 as a dog. Plug in the fact that the last 10 meetings have seen just one over between these two, and none of the last six in Vancouver have gone over. There is only one way to go here and that is UNDER.

Results: 3-1

NHL Hockey Picks Resources:

• View NHL hockey odds lines and spreads here.
• Don't forget to visit our hockey betting approach.
• View NHL hockey pick here.
• Updated today: NHL ATS standings.
• Don't forget to read our sports betting NHL here.
• Check out our updated hockey Game-of-Day Analysis.
• Hop over to our hockey blog here.
• Updated today: 2008 NHL prior pick results.

Check out the last five NHL Hockey Picks Newsletters:

NHL-Hockey-Picks-February-06-2009
The devils have got it going on in their road games as they have notched the win in their last six on the road. The product of superb goal tending and hard checking defense, which has allowed just ten...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-February-05-2009
After going 23 games and putting just two in the win column, the New York Islanders have suddenly won four straight. What has given them the surge is the goaltending of Yann Dannis. He has been behind...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-February-04-2009
The Wild have been getting some superb goaltending helping them stay in games. They have allowed just 61 goals in their last 26 games, or 2.3 a game. The problem is that they have managed just two goa...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-February-03-2009
The Canadiens have played in just two home games with the total posted at six or higher. This one is getting bumped by the high-flying Penguins. I am not so sure if this is the right number here as th...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-February-02-2009
The Blues are getting some superb goaltending right now from Chris Mason, who has recorded two shutouts in his last three games. The Blues’ offense meanwhile has not been very productive either ...