Nhl Free Picks - April 30, 2008
We went 2-1 last night, hitting with our 5-unit play. Over the past three weeks in the playoffs we are 27-13 (68%) for +24.5 units. Tonight we like both games and one we like alot.
Today's NHL Hockey Picks:
Game: Montreal at Philadelphia (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia -1.5 goals +220 (puckline) (risk 3 to win 6.6)
We like the value on this puckline play as well.
Game: Montreal at Philadelphia (7:05 PM Eastern)Pick: 5 units on Philadelphia -120 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 4.2)
The Canadiens managed 4 goals in game two of this series but in the other three games they were able to score just 2 apiece. On Monday, Martin Biron made 32 saves in the 3-2 victory. His counterpart, Carey Price was replaced during the last game. One rookie came in for another as Montreal seems desparate to break out of their slump. Price has saved just 89.2% his last four games and his confidence has to be shot. Montreal is now just 3-14 in their last 17 second-round playoff games. They are 7-14 revenging a road loss this season. They seem befuddled and on the road, with the Flyers smelling blood. That is not a good thing. We like Philadelphia to close this one out tonight!
Game: San Jose at Dallas (9:05 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Dallas -155 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.9)
We rode Dallas to a win last night and we'll stay on this gravy train as the Stars are knocking down all comers. Sure, they have gotten two victories this postseason in OT. But, they are just winning. They are more focused and playing harder than their competition. For the Sharks, they know in their hearts they are done. Only two teams have come from 0-3 down to win a series (1942 Toronto and 1975 NY Islanders). We think Dallas will be ready for a hard effort from San Jose. "We're going to try to end their season, and they know that," Mattias Norstrom said. "The desperation level will be higher, so we have to match that and exceed it." The Sharks offense just hasn't been good enough (averaging 2.0 goals per game their last five). In contrast, Dallas has averaged 3.3 goals per game in the playoffs while holding foes to 2.0. This just isn't a good match for the Sharks. San Jose is now 1-9 this season against teams that allow under 28 shots on goal and under 16% power play conversion. We'll take the Stars to end it here.
Results: 2-1
NHL Hockey Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NHL Hockey Picks Newsletters:
NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-29-2008
What can you say about the Stars? They showed signs of strength in the regular season. As a result, we backed them several times in their first series vs. Anaheim. They dispensed of the Ducks, wi...
NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-28-2008
Philadelphia took home ice advantage and the momentum with their 4-2 game two victory. Now they return home knowing a loss gives that advantage right back. In game two Martin Biron saved 34 so Philade...
NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-27-2008
Pittsburgh was able to overcome a 3-goal deficit in game one to come back and post a 5-4 win over New York. That's how good this offense is. They have now won five straight games and we like them ...
NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-26-2008
Montreal needed a comeback in game one to win it. That's not deterring us from taking the better team. Montreal showed they can handle adversity and Philadelphia showed they continue to have troub...
NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-25-2008
Pittsburgh is on a mission. Forget lack of playoff experience. This team is cruising. They are young but they are very good with Crosby and Malkin playing like seasoned vets. Marc-Andre Fleury was awe...
