NHL Hockey
Premium Edition
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April 28, 2006
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darrell,
3-0 last night including the win on the first 5-star playoff pick of the season. We're now 60% in the playoffs. Just one game out of three that I like tonight...
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Keep your head up and stick on the ice, darrell!

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Game: Carolina at Montreal (7:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 1 star on Carolina -109
Montreal scored 12 goals in the first two games to surprise Carolina and claim a commanding 2-0 lead. But, Carolina answered on Wednesday with great defense, winning 1-2. Their backs remain against the wall here as they cannot afford to go down 3-1. A win evens the series and gives them home ice advantage again. In 10 games now thus far this season in which Carolina is a road favorite of up to -150, they have won nine. Despite the first two losses, the Hurricanes are getting shots. They have averaged 42 shots per game so far. They just haven't been going in. But, I expect more to start dropping as they averaged 11.3% SOG during the season. The fact that only 6.5% have gone in thus far in the series I chalk up to a bit of a fluke. Things should return closer to normal as the series wears on and if they can get that percentage up to even 8 or 9%, they will win games. It was no fluke that this team averaged 3.6 goals per game during the regular season. Carolina is in need here and should get the win.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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