Nhl Hockey Predictions - April 06, 2010

It's here! I have launched my Dog's Parlay Club and I am providing these premium picks free in April. To get the Parlay Club picks in April free, go here.

We have nine premium picks today including a 5-unit picks and four 4-unit picks. We look to add to our monster two week NHL run that has us sitting pretty with 13 out of 14 winning days. Over the last two weeks, we have gone mad to the tune of 26-6 for 81% and +60 units.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	46-29 last 75 picks	61%	+$4060
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	8-6 last 14 picks	57%	+$940
NBA	29-17 last 46 picks	63%	+$3030
NHL	300-216 last 516 picks	58%	+$17180
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$45110

Today's NHL Hockey Picks:

Game: Montreal at New York Islanders (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total OVER 5 -140 (risk 4 to win 2.9)

The Montreal Canadiens have allowed 3 goals or more in 11 of their last 19 games played on the road. The Islanders have suddenly gotten hot on the offensive end, scoring 3 or more in each of their last five games. That would lend credibility to scoring 3+ in this one. The Islanders, off of two days rest, have been at their offensive best leading to a 6-1 mark to the OVER in their last seven in this situation. Montreal has only stayed under the total once in their last seven as a road favorite. I like this one to go OVER the total.

The Senators have been losing with regularity on the road as they have been leaking oil behind the net and on the defensive end of the ice. Other than a shutout vs. Montreal, the last six road games have seen 26 pucks slip through the nets, or 4.33 per contest - almost enough all alone to push this one over the total. The Florida Panthers have been a break-even team at home, where they have also struggled on the defensive end and behind the net. The Panthers have allowed 23 goals in their last six on home ice, or just about 4 per game. Its easy to see one of these teams hitting the 5 spot all by themselves, so I'm going with the OVER here.

The Toronto Maple Leafs seemed to be in an offensive shootout every night out, but they have calmed down and have been playing a lot tighter on both ends of the ice. The Maple Leafs have been at their defensive best over their last 10 games, allowing 2 goals or less seven times. To put it all in perspective, they allowed 2 goals or less the same seven times in their 34 games prior to these last 10. The Flyers meanwhile, have topped the 3-goal mark just three times in their last 17 games, and I would expect this one to play out lower than expected. The Flyers are UNDER to a 24-9 mark off one day of rest, while Toronto is now 11-2 to the UNDER in their last 13 as a dog. I'll go UNDER here.

The Buffalo Sabres have erupted on offense quite frequently lately. They have scored 6 or more goals three times in their last 10 games, 5 in another and averaging 3.7 per game along the way. The Rangers have been solid on the road, and have been explosive themselves, having won four of five on the current road trip, scoring 19 in the process, bringing their six-game total to 24, or 4 per contest. Both of these offenses are playing at a high level right now, and Buffalo is 6-1-2 to the OVER in their last nine off two days rest. Its hard to see this one finishing with the winner at less than 4 goals the way they have been scoring, so the value here is on the OVER, which is my call.

Can the Capitals sweep the Penguins this year? I don't think so. The Penguins are already in the playoffs, but their position is still to be determined. They are tied with New Jersey for first place so every game is critical. Sidney Crosby is coming on strong as this team heads toward the playoffs, leading the NHL in goals (47). The Capitals are great, but they allow 3.0 goals per game on the road. With Pittsburgh averaging 3.4 per game at home, this is a tough out for Washington. I like Pittsburgh to get the needed win here.

The Carolina Hurricanes survived a horrible start that included a 14-game winless streak as well as coming out on the right side of just seven of their first 32 games. They have been dramatically better since, having now come out on the right side of 18 of their last 29. Tampa Bay has begun to match the Canes early-season futility as the Lightning have now come out on the right side of just five of their last 20. What makes matters worse here is the fact that the Hurricanes have taken nine of the last 12 games in this series, and are playing at a much higher level right now. I'll go with Carolina in this one.

Can Pittsburgh win this game by 2+ goals? Yes they can. The Penguins have won three of their last four and they desperately want this game. They don't want to be swept by Washington, and every win here is critical in their race for first place. At home, this Penguins team is very good, especially against good offensive opponents. In post-All Star play, they have won 41 of 55 games the past three seasons vs. teams that average 30+ shots on goal per game. When playing with 2+ days rest, they are 29-12 since last season. When facing a team at home that has beaten them two times in a row, Pittsburgh is 15-3 the past three seasons. I like Pitt's chances here at a big statement win.

The Blackhawks have played at a high level all season, except for a recent slump that saw them end up on the right side of two of nine games. They have rebounded to play at their expected high level, winners of three straight. The difference is Antti Niemi and solid defense that has allowed just 2 goals in the last three games (less than 1 per contest). The Stars have been good at home, but not recently with 60% of their last 10 here finishing on the losing side. They have only allowed 17 goals in their last eight games, but a lack of offense has led to just a split of the eight games. Chicago is impossible to beat when they get a hot hand behind the net as they have now, so I'll go with Chicago and the UNDER in this one.

Results: 6-3

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Check out the last five NHL Hockey Picks Newsletters:

NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-04-2010
Calgary is 19-14 UNDER on the road this season and only one of their last six games has gone OVER the posted total. They have averaged just 2.2 goals per game over their last five games. Chicago is 20...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-03-2010
The New York Rangers have come out on the right side of four of their last five. Goaltender Henrik Lundqwist recorded a shutout last night for his second in five games. It marks the 14th game in the R...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-02-2010
The Blackhawks have really struggled since the Olympic break, and have come out on the right side of just 6 of 15 since. Despite the shortcomings, net minder Antti Niemi has recorded shutouts in three...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-April-01-2010
The St. Louis Blues have amped it up behind the net and on the defensive end, and it has led to three straight wins. The Blues have allowed just 4 goals in their last three games and just 11 over thei...

NHL-Hockey-Picks-March-31-2010
The Carolina Hurricanes endured a 14-game winless streak, and went through a stretch where they were on the right side of the outcome in just 7 of 34 games. They have since rebounded nicely, coming ou...