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Predictions Nfl Free Picks - September 22, 2008Wow, talk about taking it on the chin yesterday. We would like to apologize for yesterday's results and would like you all to know we take our losses very seriously. As an underdog bettor, the big showing by favorites thus far (60% this week, 55% season-to-date) has handicapped us. We will continue to monitor and adjust our system as necessary. We look to get some back with our MNF pick tonight. And, we will work tirelessly to put this weekend in our rearview and move forward towards those wins that we used to. One play tonight as the Jets and Brett Favre travel to San Diego to battle Philip Rivers and the Chargers.  Today's NFL Football Picks: There is certainly something to be said when the general public, which is favorite happy, lines up on an underdog. That is the case in this one and why not? The Chargers look like they couldn't stop any one defensively, Shawne Merriman is gone for the season, and they are more than a TD favorite. It looks like the All-time sucker bet to me. The Chargers gave up 39 to the Broncos, and were hosed by a bad call that cost them the win. Just in case you haven't been looking the 39 they gave up to the Broncos is now what they are averaging through three games. So I don't hold that performance against the Chargers. They lost to a rejuvenated Panthers’ team and Jake Delhomme, who is now 22-4 ATS as a dog in his career. That loss was also one play away from a win. The Jets meanwhile are just 5-15 in their last 20 games with three wins against Miami and the only other two came in OT. Favre creates an illusion that this is a better football team than it is, but the Jets are big dogs because the oddsmakers are with this understanding. Favre has been sacked five times already, and the Jets play calling has already come under fan scrutiny as the pass offense dinks and dunks with nothing down field. It is what Favre is best suited for, but the lack of success will lead to opening up more. The offensive line isn't good at holding off the rush - and that's when Favre starts making mistakes. The TD pass he threw against the Dolphins was basically a pressure-induced jump ball and the Jets got lucky. This has already happened more than once this season and his luck will even out long-term. Phil Rivers has been deadly in his first two games, and he has the corps of receivers to exploit the Jets big here. The Chargers are an angry team, backed against the wall at 0-2, playing at home on a Monday night and I think they will get the job done in this one. NFL Football Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NFL Football Picks Newsletters: NFL-Football-Picks-September-18-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-September-12-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-September-08-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-September-04-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-August-27-2008 |
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