We hit two of three yesterday. The Atlanta/TB UNDER came in very easy as they mustered just 17 total points. Seattle took care of Arizona in relatively easy fashion, too winning by 11. The Green Bay pick looked very good early on but then they decided to pass nearly every play and Brett Favre just couldn't help throwing up some crazy ill-advised passes. We still had a chance late but Favre just couldn't muster any of his old magic. Anyway, 67% again, matching our week 1 percentage. Tonight's game, in my opinion, offers virtually no edge on either the side or total, so I'm passing. I do have some thoughts below that may help you if you decide to play.

WUNDERDOG 2006 RESULTS (UNITS)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	UNITS
NFL	6-3 last 9 picks	67%	+3
CFB	11-5 Season-to-Date	69%	+6
MLB	45-30 last 75 picks	60%	+3.4
NFL	87-62 last season	58%	+25
NHL	208-140 last season	60%	+24.6
CBB	174-128 last season	58%	+46
NBA	207-197 last season	51%	+10
TOTAL			+118

Check out my NFL Computer Predictions which predict every game on the board. NOTE: these are NOT my official picks - they do not take into account anything other than raw stats (emotions, situations, etc). They are useful for office pools and as one input to handicapping but should not be played blindly.

RESULTS: Last 5 Years NFL Full-Season Profit   $100 per unit players have made $7,881   $500 per unit players have made $39,405   $1000 per unit players have made $78,810   View more results: last 12 months & detailed by season

Please Tell A Friend about this newsletter and they'll thank you!

Good luck to you...

Game: Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (Monday 9/18 8:30 PM Eastern)

Will Roethlisberger go tonight? Consider that the line has moved from an opening number of Pick 'em to Pittsburgh -3. Big Ben has said he wants to play but Bill Cowher will make the final call. His status makes this game a bit risky from a betting persepective. Despite the play of Charlie Batch last week, laying 3 points on the road to Jacksonville without Big Ben is not an attractive option. The Jags won 11 games last year and they impressed with a second-half dismantling of Dallas last week. They rarely win big but they are scrappy and find a way to get the win. Tonight they are getting a field goal at home on Monday Night. But, how do you fade the Steelers? This team won the Super Bowl, crusing through the playoffs beating great teams on the road. Their defense is simply awesome which is one reason they are 9-2 ATS on the road the past two seasons. RB Willie Parker made a statement last week that he doesn't need the help of Jerome Bettis. Parker ran very hard and gained 115 yards on 29 carries. While no one doubted his speed, he showed he can be a smashmouth back - something many people have doubted. Like Pittsburgh? Consider that Jacksonville is 7-0 ATS in September games over the past three seasons. I see no edge on a side bet here. This low total of 37 reflects what we know - this should be a low scoring game given two strong defenses. Pittsburgh is 8-1 UNDER the last two seasons on the road off a game in which the total points went OVER. But, Jacksonville is 6-0 OVER in games with a line of +3 to -3 over the past two seasons. Historically speaking, there's probably more pointing to an UNDER here as games involving winning teams from last year in a conference matchup tend to go UNDER as the public pushes the total too high (the public loves OVERs in general and even more when winning teams are involved). In the end, I see no real edge anywhere here and I'll pass. Good luck to you.