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Nfl Picks Super Bowl Odds - October 13, 2008

We hit our two top picks including the 5-unit Game of the Month on Arizona and 4-unit on San Diego, but we dropped the rest, losing juice on the day. The OVER loss on the the Jets-Bengals game was frustrating as we had 31 points scored by halftime but they couldn't get to 42 for the game. That made the difference between a winning day and the day we had (-0.8 units). Tonight we have one pick...

Today's NFL Football Picks:

Game: New York Giants at Cleveland (Monday 10/13 8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Cleveland +9 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

The Giants will put their unbeaten record to the test tonight as they take to the road to face a desperate Cleveland team. The Browns got off to a slow start, thanks to sub-par play and some injuries. They got a much needed win before the bye and I look for their offense to make a better showing this week, well rested and prepared after their week off. They will get Eric Steinbach and Ryan Tucker back which should help bolster an offensive line that has been weak. Jamal Lewis has only been able to generate 3.4 ypc without these two guys and their presence should make an immediate impact. Derek Anderson will also have an added target as John Stallworth returns. Kellen Winslow is a possibility tonight. For the Giants, Antonio Pierce may be scratched or at best, banged up. The Giants certainly have not played an overwhelming schedule to start the season. They did beat Washington in the opener. But the team they faced on that day is not the same Skins team that has matured quickly and won four of their last five. Wins over Cincinnati, St. Louis and Seattle don't say a whole lot as those teams are a combined 2-14 on the season! To the contrary, the Browns have faced a much tougher schedule including games versus Dallas, Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Cleveland, after a great 2007 campaign, was projected as a playoff contender enter this season. To put it truthfully, their entire season is on the line tonight. A loss takes the playoff conversation off the table while a win vs. the Giants, on the heels of their win before the bye, could lift this team back into consideration. The players, coaches and fans know this so expect an A+ effort for that reason alone. And, while the preseason usually doesn't mean a whole lot, the fact that the Giants layed 30 unanswered points on Cleveland in their preseason meeting this year could provide even more motivation. "They embarrassed us," Cleveland linebacker Andra Davis said. "So that's going to give us a little extra fire. It could definitely turn the season around to beat the Super Bowl champs and do it on national television. We'll be ready to go." The Dog Pound is a tough place to play, and since the Browns have not had a home game on Monday night since Dec of 2003, look for the building to be electric. I look for the Browns to bring everything they have into this one against the Superbowl Champs. Big dogs off a bye typically perform very well against the spread. With lots of healthy parts, and motivation, look for a different Browns team to show up tonight.

NFL Football Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NFL Football Picks Newsletters:

NFL-Football-Picks-October-10-2008
Brett Favre, after a slow start learning the Jets system, has really taken off. The Jets have scored 85 points in their last two games with Favre throwing for 560 yards and nine touchdowns! He's c...

NFL-Football-Picks-October-02-2008
The Lions caught their bye at a very good time. They started horribly and needed to regroup. They let go Matt Millen and all that baggage and look to start anew this week. The Lions are not a great te...

NFL-Football-Picks-September-29-2008
Baltimore's defense is being talked up again as they have held their first two opponents to just 10 points each. But let's not get too crazy about those games. They came against two of the wor...

NFL-Football-Picks-September-26-2008
Kansas City? Seriously? Am I smoking crack? I know I'll take some flack for this pick, after what KC did for us last week. But, I am a buy-low-sell-high kinda guy and as much as I wish I didn'...

NFL-Football-Picks-September-22-2008
There is certainly something to be said when the general public, which is favorite happy, lines up on an underdog. That is the case in this one and why not? The Chargers look like they couldn't st...

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