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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NFL Football Premium Edition
October 02, 2006

darrell,

We hit four picks yesterday with the NO/CAR UNDER, Atlanta, KC, and New England. You either won, pushed or lost the Oakland game depending on what line you got. I'm officially counting it as a push based on the line at the time I released it (+3). That puts us at 9-0 the past two weeks!

WUNDERDOG 2006 RESULTS (UNITS)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%UNITS
NFL 15-3 last 18 picks 83%+12
CFB 18-8 last 26 picks 69%+10
MLB 44-23 last 67 picks 66%+7
NHL 208-140 last season 60%+24.6
CBB 174-128 last season 58%+46
NBA 207-197 last season 51%+10
TOTAL  +109.6

Check out my NFL Computer Predictions which predict every game on the board. NOTE: these are NOT my official picks - they do not take into account anything other than raw stats (emotions, situations, etc). They are useful for office pools and as one input to handicapping but should not be played blindly.

results

RESULTS: Last 5 Years NFL Full-Season Profit
  $100 per unit players have made $7,881
  $500 per unit players have made $39,405
  $1000 per unit players have made $78,810

  View more results: last 12 months & detailed by season

 

 

 

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Good luck to you...

The Wunderdog


Premium Picks

Game: Green Bay at Philadelphia (Monday 10/02 8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Green Bay +11.5

Yesterday was a day of mixed results for big favorites. We were on both Atlanta and Kansas City laying -7. They both won and covered very easily. Dallas (-9.5)also won in a blowout. But Carolina (-7), Cincinnati (-6) and Indianapolis (-9) didn't fair so well. Cincinnati was upset and Carolina and Indianapolis nearly suffered the same fate. Now we get Philadelphia laying double digits. What to make of it? Take the dog! Green Bay continues to get very little respect. Lots of folks expected a 4-or-fewer win season from the Pack coming into the year. They lost their first game 26-0 at home. This solidified in most bettors minds that Green Bay was terrible. The Pack played much better vs. New Orleans in week two but still lost. Again, the feeling was "yeah, like I said, Green Bay is horrible." Then, they upset Detroit last week as a seven point underdog. There's a trend here - they are getting better each week and gaining some much needed confidence. And, as we have since learned, Chicago is a great team and New Orleans is MUCH better than most thought. Will the Packers beat the Eagles? I don't give them much of a chance at that. But, I think they give them a fight and keep it under 12 points. Make no mistake about it, the Eagles are going to score here. Green Bay's defense is bad. But, Philly's defense is not really that good either. They are ranked in the bottom 10 in the league in yards/game and points/game allowed. Favre struggles against good defenses but given time to throw, he does alright. He's off a 25-36, 340 yard, 3 TD performance. Against the Eagles defense, I think Green Bay gets enough points to keep the final score respectable. Take Green Bay plus the points.


Resources

NFL Football Resources

  This week's computer predictions
  Up-to-Date NFL ATS Records
  NFL Game-of-the-Week Preview
  Live NFL Football Lines
  Latest NFL News

Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
Pass It On

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The Wunderdog

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