Football Betting Prediction - November 12, 2009

We went 7-3 last week in the NFL (and 8-3 in college football) and look to build on that momentum this week. We start off with a couple of picks in tonight's Thursday night opener.

In case you haven't been tracking, we are on fire right now across all sports including NBA and NHL too. Over the past week across all sports we are 41-19 (68%) for +57.8 units. If you aren't getting college football, NBA or NHL picks and want them, let me know by replying to this emaill.

Today's NFL Football Picks:

Game: Chicago at San Francisco (Thursday 11/12 8:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Chicago +3.5 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total OVER 43 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Bears are a decent team that has looked bad in two of the last three weeks, having allowed over 40 points in two of them. The Niners looked like a playoff team off a strong finish last year and after a 3-1 start in 2009, they looked like a team on a mission. But, they have since dropped four straight. The changes for the Niners have been dramatic on both sides of the ball. Through their first four games they were scoring 25.5 ppg and allowing just 13.3 ppg. Those numbers over the last four have changed dramatically to 18 ppg on offense and 30.3 on defense. A team that was outscoring opponents by 12 per game is now being outscored by 12 - a 24-point swing. The level of competition might be part of it, but let's be reasonable here. A 24 ppg swing points to some core issues. Some of those issues are up front on the offensive line for the Niners. They have had ongoing problems on the right side, and have lost Joe Staley on the left side. The sack count against the Niners is up to 26, and I see the Bears coming after Alex Smith hard here. The Bears have responded very well in the past after a poor defensive perfromance, as they are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven after allowing 30 or more. The Bears always associated with defense but they have not played that way of late. They have gone 31-14-1 to the over in their last 46 NFC contests. The Niners have been involved with lots of scoring in the role of a home favorite, as they are 12-4 to the over in their last 16 in that role. Both teams have issues on defense, but the better team, and the one with fewer issues is getting the points. I'm going with the Bears, and the OVER in this one.

NFL Football Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to read our week seven nfl picks here.
• Take a look at our nfl week eight picks here.
• Check out nfl picks week four here.
• Here we show our week two nfl picks.
• Check out nfl picks week six here.
• Read our football against-the-spread standings here.
• Don't forget to visit our expert nfl pick .
• Updated today: football blog.
• Updated today: nfl handicapping services.
• Don't forget to visit our week eleven nfl picks.
• View nfl week twelve picks here.
• View NFL game predictions here.
• View nfl picks week one here.
• View our updated nfl picks week 9.
• View our nfl picks week 10 here.
• Check out our updated 2009 NFL team over-under predictions.
• Don't forget to visit our nfl week thirteen picks.
• Hop over to our 2009 NFL pick results here.
• Hop over to our NFL Game Analysis here.
• Don't forget to visit our football sportsbook reviews.
• Don't forget to read our Why to bet NFL underdogs here.
• Take a look at our nfl week 14 picks here.
• View our nfl conficdence pool picks here.
• View NFL prior picks here.
• Here we show our NFL halftime props.
• Check out our updated nfl picks week five .
• Read our Betting the NFL playoffs here.
• Take a look at our NFL Football odds lines and spreads here.
• Don't forget to visit our nfl picks week 3.
• Hop over to our expert football free pick here.
• Don't forget to read our nfl week 17 picks here.
• Don't forget to read our week fifteen nfl picks here.
• Hop over to our nfl picks week 16 here.
• Read our Free super bowl picks here.

Check out the last five NFL Football Picks Newsletters:

NFL-Football-Picks-November-09-2009
The Denver Broncos are the biggest surprise in the NFL this season. When they traded Jay Cutler in the offeseason, it looked like Denver was ready to re-tool the team and was a couple of years away fr...

NFL-Football-Picks-November-06-2009
The Patriots are getting a lot of pump off of their dismantling of Tennessee and Tampa Bay by a combined score of 94-7. The problem here is that those teams were winless when they met them, and still ...

NFL-Football-Picks-October-30-2009
Matt Schaub is having a great year but he may be without Andre Johnson here. If Johnson does play, he may not be up to speed. This could be a tricky spot for Houston as Buffalo has the third rank...

NFL-Football-Picks-October-23-2009
The Packers are off a very impressive win. Or are they? They beat the Lions 26-0 but the reality is, Green Bay didn't play as well as the score would indicate. The much maligned offensive line str...

NFL-Football-Picks-October-19-2009
This has been a very interesting NFL season thus far. Favorites (especially big ones) have been hitting at a very abnormal rate. Some winning teams from last season that were supposed to be winning ag...