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Nfl Free Pick - December 24, 2007

We followed up a 7-3 +14 unit week 15 with another big winner yesterday. We nailed our two 5-unit selections (4-0 on those the past two weeks). We also hit both of our 4-unit plays. Overall it was a +8.6 unit day boosting our winnings the past two weeks to 22.7 units ($2,270 for $100 players). We've won eight of the last twelve weeks. Tonight we have a couple of picks in the game...

WUNDERDOG 2007 RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
NFL 12-7 last 19 picks 63%+$2260
CBB 2-0 last 2 picks 100%+$640
NBA 26-22 last 48 picks 54%+$1410
TOTAL  +$4310

Today's NFL Football Picks:

Game: Denver at San Diego (Monday 12/24 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Denver +9 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

This is virtually a meaningless game for both teams. Denver, at 6-8, has been eliminated from the playoffs. San Diego has clinched the West. So we turn to motivation and goals. Who has a motivational edge? What are the goals of each team? San Diego is looking ahead to the playoffs. Their goal has to be to get into the playoffs healthy. Denver has no such postseason hopes. The only thing they can do to improve how they feel this year is win some games to get to a respectable .500 mark. LaDanian Tomlinson tweaked a hamstring last week and Phillip Rivers has a dinged up knee. With essentially nothing to play for, you have to wonder how much risk Norv Turner will take here. How hard will the Chargers players play? They don't have a lot to prove as they are feeling good about themselves with their recent red-hot play. Denver is dinged up as well with Jay Cutler and Travis Henry ailing. But this team has no reason to heal them up. San Diego has won four straight but if you look closely, they haven't have played some real cream puffs. They beat Baltimore, a team that is 0-9 in their last nine games. They beat Kansas City who is 0-8 over their last eight game. They beat Detroit who just barely broke an 0-6 slide on Sunday (against the 0-8 Cheifs). Finally, the Chargers needed a miracle finish to down Tennessee. San Diego trailed in that game 17-3 late in the 4th. Is San Diego really so good to be laying 9 points in a division rivalry game? Denver was beaten by San Diego at home 41-3 earlier in the year and the veterans on this team are going to call on that game to show up for this one. This San Diego offense and defense is just not what it was last year. They rank just 20th overall and the defense is just 16th. We think this line is a serious overlay, and we will back the team that has a bone to pick for a humiliating loss.


Game: Denver at San Diego (Monday 12/24 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1 unit on Denver +330 (moneyline) (risk 1 to win 3.3)

The last 23 times these teams have played, the ATS winner lost the game outright just once. Denver wants to win. San Diego is fat and happy and has no need to win. They are also likely distracted, at home, by family and friends with this being Christmas eve. Denver is looking for some hope for next year and are seeking revenge for a 41-3 trouncing. We'll take a flyer for a unit on Denver winning outright.


NFL Football Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NFL Football Picks Newsletters:

NFL-Football-Picks-December-22-2007
The Giants started the season 0-2 but then reeled off six straight wins. Again, they looked like they were headed for the playoffs. Then, as has been their history under Tom Coughlin, they seemed to q...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-17-2007
The Vikings have suddenly become a feared team. Adrien Peterson is running over everyone, Tarvaris Jackson on the improve, they own the top unit against the run,  and have rattled off f...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-16-2007
This is a late addition UNDER play based on weather - fits our 70% system. ...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-08-2007
Dallas is sitting pretty. They are 11-1, having won six in a row and they just nailed their most important win of the season over their only real threat in their conference (Green Bay). The Cowboys ho...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-03-2007
This is another weather play for us. The winds in Baltimore for tonight's game are forecast to be 25-30 MPH sustained, with gusts to 50 MPH. This means no kicking game, no passing game, and a lot ...

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