Free Pro Football Picks - December 21, 2009

We swept the board this week in the NFL, going 5-0 including two 5-unit and two 4-unit hits. The result was +18.2 units. Over the past five weeks we are 31-14 (69%) for +45.8 units. Tonight we cap the week with a pick on the New York - Washington game...

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	31-14 last 45 picks	69%	+$4580
CFB	6-2 last 8 picks	75%	+$1120
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	38-30 last 68 picks	56%	+$1470
NBA	19-11 last 30 picks	63%	+$1410
NHL	158-86 last 244 picks	65%	+$17770
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$40210

 

Today's NFL Football Picks:

Game: New York Giants at Washington (Monday 12/21 8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington +3 (-130) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

Sometimes our human brains can fail us. We fall into the trap of putting a label on a team and then not budging, despite evidence to the contrary. The Redskins are the team no one wants to touch. But maybe it should be the Giants that scare you. In September, the Giants looked like a Super Bowl contender. They opened the season at 5-0, beating teams by an average margin of 16 points per game. But that was a long time ago, folks. In their last eight games this team has gone 2-6. They have beaten just one team by more than 3 points, and that was the Dallas Cowboys by 7. The defense that allowed 14.2 ppg in those first five games has not held a single team under 20 since, allowing a ridiculous 32.4 ppg. To put that in perspective, it is the highest amount of points allowed by any team in the NFL over that span. And this team is favored on the road? I'm not buying it. The Redskins problem of course, is offense. They average just 18 points per game and have scored single digits three times. But, what better for this team than to face a team allowing 32+ per game over the past two months? And, while "Reskins=low-scoring" has been etched into the minds of sports bettors, is that really still the case? The Skins have become a much better offensive team over the last five weeks. They have gone from a team that scored 17 or less in each of their first eight games, to one that has averaged 24.2 ppg in their last five. The result? A perfect 5-0 ATS record over that span. The offense ranks 23rd in points scored per game, but over the last five weeks it has been a top 10 offensive team. The defense has been top 10 caliber all season long. The Giants once powerful running game has had problems, and they have been forced to the air a lot, and that is where the Skins have a huge advantage. Washington allows the 4th fewest passing yards in the NFL, and their 36 sacks is just six behind the league leading Vikings who have played one more game. The Giants have dropped seven of their last eight against the points, and their last five as a favorite. Bottom line? Wrong team favored. Take the Skins.

NFL Football Picks Resources:

• View our updated nfl picks week seven .
• Updated today: week 8 nfl picks.
• Updated today: nfl picks week 4.
• Take a look at our week two nfl picks here.
• Check out our updated week 6 nfl picks.
• Here we show our football against-the-spread records.
• Updated today: expert nfl picks.
• View our updated football blog.
• View our updated football handicapping service.
• Read our nfl week 11 picks here.
• Check out week 12 nfl picks here.
• Read our NFL game picks here.
• Don't forget to visit our nfl week 1 picks.
• Don't forget to visit our nfl week nine picks.
• Read our nfl picks week 10 here.
• Read our 2009 NFL team win totals here.
• Updated today: week 13 nfl picks.
• Updated today: 2009 football picks season results.
• Read our NFL Game Preview here.
• Hop over to our football betting here.
• Don't forget to visit our Why to bet NFL underdogs.
• View nfl picks week 14 here.
• Don't forget to visit our free nfl office pool picks.
• Check out our updated NFL previous picks.
• Don't forget to read our NFL halftime bets here.
• Take a look at our nfl week five picks here.
• View our updated NFL playoffs picks .
• Hop over to our NFL Football spreads here.
• Hop over to our week three nfl picks here.
• Don't forget to read our nfl football picks here.
• Don't forget to visit our week 17 nfl picks.
• View nfl week fifteen picks here.
• Check out nfl week sixteen picks here.
• Check out our updated this years super bowl predictions.

Check out the last five NFL Football Picks Newsletters:

NFL-Football-Picks-December-18-2009
The expected shootout between Dallas and San Diego never materialized last week and we cashed on the UNDER in that one. I'm again going to fade the expected high-scoring outcome here. It seems as ...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-14-2009
We were on Arizona big last week. I liked the Cardinals in that spot vs. the then-one loss Vikings. Arizona was coming on and Minnesota was overrated. The Cardinals dominated that game and won outrigh...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-11-2009
The Texans just can't get over the hump. A season of promise as a potential playoff team has yet again failed to meet expectations. One of the reasons is a myriad of injuries with eight players on...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-07-2009
The Green Bay Packers have won three straight to get to 7-4 and appear to have turned a corner. If the season ended today, they would have earned one of the NFL Wildcard spots. With a win to...

NFL-Football-Picks-December-04-2009
The Denver Broncos seem to be one step ahead of the public this season. They scored big upset wins at home vs. the Cowboys, Patriots and last week once again over the Giants. We were on them in a coup...