Nfl Betting Pick - December 01, 2008

We killed it yesterday in all sports going 5-1 in the NFL, 4-0 in the NBA and 2-1 in NHL (including a 4-unit winner on a +180 dog). Thanks to two 5-unit winners in the NFL (now on 10-2 run), we scooped +37 units - one of our best days ever. We have now won 13 of 16 weeks in the NFL including 9 of the last 10. Tonight we have a pick on the game in Houston. Good thing because with these two stinkers, who would watch the game without something on it?

Today's NFL Football Picks:

Game: Jacksonville at Houston (Monday 12/01 8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 48 -110

Tonight the Houston Texans host a Monday Night Football game for the first time since 1994. Both of these teams have struggled to identical 4-7 records, and their playoff fate has for all intents and purposes been sealed - neither will be playing in January. Both of these teams have average offenses. Jacksonville's defense is solid while Houston's is not. But with two teams that collectively average 43 points per game, this total is too high. Houston will be the more "pumped" team here given that this is their first MNF home appearance in 14 years. Their defense will play better than usual. The Texans have struggled with Sage Rosenfels under center. He has already thrown nine interceptions and fumbled four times. So, last week the Texans put the ball on the ground last 36 times and lo and behold - the Texans won. I think they go with a similar game plan tonight, especially considering that Jacksonville ranks 18th vs. the run. I expect Steve Slayton and Ahman Green to get a lot of work in this one. The Jaguars are faced with a similar dilemna, as their defense has suffered through the loss of Marcus Stroud. They would like to keep their offense on the field as much as possible and have a tandem of running backs that should find some room on the 23th ranked rushing offense of the Texans. Games featuring two bad teams with winning percentages of .400 or worse in the second half of the season have played UNDER 61% of the time since 1983 (including 1-0 so far this year). The game plan for both teams here will be run-run-run, and I expect the single biggest threat to an OVER here (Houston's defense) will be mitigated by an emotionally high effort.

NFL Football Picks Resources:

• Check out our updated football ATS records.
• Take a look at our halftime prop bets here.
• View NFL previous picks here.
• Check out our updated nfl week 14 picks.
• Hop over to our week thirteen nfl picks here.
• View our nfl picks week 12 here.
• View our nfl picks week eleven here.
• Updated today: nfl week ten picks.
• Take a look at our nfl picks week 9 here.
• Check out nfl week 8 picks here.
• Check out nfl picks week seven here.
• Updated today: nfl week six picks.
• View our nfl picks week 5 here.
• Check out our updated nfl picks week four.
• View week three nfl picks here.
• Check out our updated nfl picks week 2.
• View nfl picks week one here.
• Hop over to our monday night football predictions here.
• Read our football picks blog here.
• View our nfl sports book here.
• Here we show our football handicapping services.
• Check out 2008 NFL picks results here.
• Updated today: expert nfl picks.
• Hop over to our nfl picks week 16 here.
• View 2008 NFL predictions-win totals here.
• Don't forget to read our Why to bet NFL underdogs here.
• View NFL lines and odds here.
• Check out our updated this years super bowl picks.
• View our nfl week fifteen picks here.
• Check out our updated NFL playoffs betting.
• Hop over to our nfl office pool free picks here.
• Read our Football Game-of-Week Analysis here.
• Check out our updated NFL game previews.
• Don't forget to visit our week 17 nfl picks.

Check out the last five NFL Football Picks Newsletters:

NFL-Football-Picks-November-28-2008
Everyone is beginning to sing the praises of the Colts again as they have won four straight games and Peyton Manning and company are back in business. I'm not as sold yet. Jeff Saturday won't ...

NFL-Football-Picks-November-26-2008
It has been an injury riddled season for both of these teams with each going a stint without their primary signal caller. Both Matt Hasselbeck and Tony Romo are back. Both took major dings thanks to t...

NFL-Football-Picks-November-24-2008
This is a must-win for both teams as each sit at 5-5. With the tight wild-card races this year, a loss will likely deal the death blow to the playoff hopes of the loser. The Packers are certainly the ...

NFL-Football-Picks-November-21-2008
The playoff chase for these teams has become a long shot at best. Each have had disappointing seasons to date, and will be fighting for a win here to keep some hope alive. Houston has struggled t...

NFL-Football-Picks-November-17-2008
It was six weeks into the season and the whispers around Buffalo had the words "Superbowl" mixed in. The Bills have subsequently fallen hard. They have not won a game in three straight weeks...