Ncaa Football Prediction - September 03, 2007
We're a dissapointing 2-3 going into Monday. We look to come out on the plus side overall with a win tonight...
Today's NCAA Football Picks:
Game: Florida State at Clemson (Sunday 9/02 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Clemson +3.5
Primetime father vs. son matchup here in round #9 of the "Bowden Bowl." While Bobby Bowden won the first four, the younger Bowden has won three of the last four. Clemson got off to a very fast start last year, going 7-1 with the only loss coming in OT at Boston College. Then the wheels fell off as the Tigers finished 1-3 and lost their Bowl game as a big favorite to Kentucky. But, Clemson is a powerful team at home as they own a 34-12 mark over the last seven years. They are even better as a home dog as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS as a home dog over the past few years. Florida State has contributed to that record and hasn't won at Clemson since 2001. The Seminoles brought their #3 ranked team here in 2003 as a huge 17.5 point favorite and got hammered 26-10. The 2005 Seminoles came in ranked #17 as 2.5 point favorite and were handed a 35-14 loss. Last year Clemson went on the road to face the Seminoles and won again, 27-20. What we see here is a case of the younger Bowden putting a large emphasis facing off against his father, and knowing the Seminole system inside and out. Last season Florida State suffered first losing season ever in the ACC finishing just 3-5. It was Florida State's worst season since 1976! Coach Bowden brought in lots of new coaches and there will be a lot of new schemes and processes to learn. That is not condusive to playing a perfect game early in the season, and especially on the road in a very hostile environment. Defense is the calling card for Clemson. They allowed just 16.2 points per game last season and their defense returns seven starters. The defense was even stronger at home allowing just 10 per game! Florida State needed a Bowl win to avoid finishing the season with a losing record last year. The last two years this team has lost 11 games, and if you turn back the clock in the Bowden era, this team notched a decade's worth of losses in just two years. Florida State may be improved, but playing on the road, with three new coaches in Amato, Jimbo Fisher and Rick Trickett, it is hard to believe this team is going to be ultra-sharp here. Clemson, after a rough 2006 finish, will be motivated to start strong here in front of the home crowd. The Tigers are a perfect 6-0 the past three years as an underdog and we like them to win, or at least keep it close here.
Note, this game is +3.5 at most sportsbooks. If yours has it at +3 with low juice, buy the hook to get 3.5.
NCAA Football Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NCAA Football Picks Newsletters:
NCAA-Football-Picks-August-29-2007
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