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College Football Expert Pick - October 21, 2009

We posted a second straight losing week last week. Adjustments have been made and we look forward to getting back to the winning ways of earlier in the season starting this week. We start off week eight with a pick in tonight's game...

Today's NCAA Football Picks:

Game: Tulsa at U T E P (Wednesday 10/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tulsa -8 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Golden Hurricane will bring the nation's leading offense into the Sun Bowl for a Conference USA clash on ESPN. Tulsa isn't quite as offensive as they have been in the past, but they still possess a lot of weapons. And, what has been lacking the past few years, a solid defense, is now in place. The Hurricane gave #5 Boise State all it could handle a week ago, losing by a touchdown. They lost to Oklahoma by a wide margin, but when facing competition more of their own ilk, they have shined this year. Outside of their games vs. Oklahoma and Boise State, Tulsa is 4-0, winning on average by a score of 41-9. Remove a blasting of Sam Houston State from the equation and Tulsa has beaten three non-powerhouse FBS opponents by a combined 75 points. They have lost just one game ATS this season out of six. The Miners have shown the ability to move the ball, but the defense is once again keeping this team from moving up in the ranks. They sit one from the bottom in yards allowed, 119th out of 120 teams. They have not been taking advantage of their home field, as they have turned in just a 3-7 ATS mark over their last 10 at home. The visiting team in this series has covered the spread in 12 of the last 17 meetings. And, under head coach Mike Price, the Miners are just 3-11 ATS coming off a road loss. I expect Tulsa to get a comfortable double-digit win here.

NCAA Football Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NCAA Football Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-15-2009
This is an intriguing game. The Hawkeyes remain one of only eight unbeaten teams in NCAA Football. They've won ten straight games dating back to last season. They face the Badgers who have just on...

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-08-2009
Eastern Michigan suffered a serious blow when QB Andy Schmitt went down for the season with an injury and they simply aren't the type of program that can pull another competent QB right off t...

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-06-2009
Troy has the potential to be a little flat in this game as they won a big game on the road their last time on the field vs. Arkansas State - the team that was supposed to challenge them for the Sun Be...

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-01-2009
Syracuse has been a surprise this season, winning back-to-back games for the first time since 2006. While every win counts equally in the standings, you can hardly get excited about a win ov...

NCAA-Football-Picks-September-30-2009
Hawaii was a very high profile offense under June Jones, going almost exclusively through the air. Last year the Warriors were breaking in a new QB and didn't have the lofty numbers as expected. N...

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