College Football Premium Edition |
October 04, 2006 |
|
darrell,
We went 4-1 last week (12-5 on a star basis) to push our record up to 69% on the season. Five picks again this week...
| WUNDERDOG 2006 RESULTS (UNITS) |
| SPORT | WINS-LOSSES | % | UNITS | | NFL |
15-4 last 19 picks |
79% | +11 |
| CFB |
18-8 last 26 picks |
69% | +10 |
| MLB |
45-24 last 69 picks |
65% | +6.5 |
| NHL |
208-140 last season |
60% | +24.6 |
| CBB |
174-128 last season |
58% | +46 |
| NBA |
207-197 last season |
51% | +10 |
| TOTAL | | | +108.1 |
 |
Wunderdog Picks Results
Check out my 12-month performance here. |
Please Tell A Friend about this newsletter and they'll thank you!
Good
luck to you...

|
|
| |
Game: T C U at Utah (Thursday 10/05 9:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 stars on T C U +3
Two teams off crippling defeats meet with the loser destined to come out a big step behind in the MWC. Utah comes off a 36-3 loss to Boise State where they were manhandled in every aspect of the game. TCU was shocked by BYU on their home field in a game that looked a lot like a TCU sleepwalk. Utah still gets too much love from the oddsmakers due to their amazing run of two years past with a different head coach and quarterback. Meanwhile TCU has been consistently overlooked the last two years. Bottom line here is that TCU is the superior football team in this matchup and I like their chances to bounce back in a positive way. This team had one goal this season and that was a MWC Championship. The Horned Frogs cannot afford to lose anymore games in conference this season. Expect one of the better efforts of the year from Texas Christian. Utah has played only one other team of this caliber so far - UCLA in the first week. They lost 10-31. Last season, these teams shared seven common opponents. TCU was 7-0 straight-up and against-the-spread while Utah was 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS. TCU is the superior team. With Gary Patterson at the helm, TCU has historically performed very well in expected close games. The Frogs are 10-1 ATS with him as coach with a line of +3 to -3. Take TCU plus the field goal.
Game: Texas A&m at Kansas (Saturday 10/07 12:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 stars on Kansas +2
Whoa here you say. Strange line in this game? Not at all, when you consider that Kansas under Mangino has been one of the best home teams in the Big 12 while A&M has been one of the most overrated teams in the country the last couple of seasons. Kansas brings a pretty good defense into this tilt and an offense that put up over 500 yards on Nebraska in Lincoln. Kansas gave up many a huge scoring play last week and still stayed in the game. The Aggies do not have gamebreakers on offense, and Kansas' defense should be able to hold them down. A&M lost a heartbreaker to Texas Tech last weekend, in a game that saw their defensive backfield get shredded by the Red Raiders. This A&M team is not that good. Do not be fooled by the record as they have played no one decent to date and get their first real test on the road here. The games against The Citadel, LA Lafayette, Army and Lousiana Tech didn't prepare them for this game - a Big 12 bruiser. The Aggies are just 3-12 ATS on the road under Franchione. Meanwhile Kansas is 6-0 ATS the past three seasons at home vs. wiining teams. Expect a close game throughout with Kansas pulling it off at home late.
Game: Vanderbilt at Mississippi (Saturday 10/07 2:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 stars on Vanderbilt -1.5
Will Ole Miss score here? Ole Miss might be the worst offensive team in the country this season and Vanderbilt's defense has done a nice job to date. They did a respectable job against Michigan and kept games close with Alabama and Arkansas. They lost those two games by a combined 5 points. Oklahoma castoff Brent Schaeffer is the QB for Ole Miss and he leaves a lot to be desired. Vandy has demonstrated an ability to move the football on the ground (5.3 yards per rush) and that should be enough in a low scoring SEC standoff. Ole Miss has averaged just 12.2 points per game this season. They'll be lucky to get much more than that this week. This line is low as I feel Vandy should be favored by more than a field goal. Especially when you consider that Vandy is a perfect 6-0 ATS on the road the past two seasons. Commodores in this one.
Game: Akron at Cincinnati (Saturday 10/07 3:30 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 stars on Akron +6
Last week we faded the Zips but that was more about their opponent last week (Kent State) that was in a great situation. This week I like Akron. The Zips have been in this situation before. Preparing to play its final non-conference game this Saturday at Cincinnati, Akron finds itself in an 0-2 hole in the MAC East Division race. A year ago, after a Nov. 5 loss at Ball State, the Zips were 4-5 overall and 3-3 in the MAC. Akron finished 6-5 and in a three-way tie for the East Division title. The Zips won a tie-breaker and rallied to beat Northern Illinois 31-30 for the MAC championship. So far this season the Zips have hung tough with a couple of "Big Boys" on the road including Penn State in the season opener. In week two they upset NC State winning outright as a 9-point underdog. Playing these tough teams has prepared them for what they will face this week on the road against the Bearcats. The Zips will not be intimidated and will be going to Cincinnati trying to pull the upset. The Zips passing attack that averages 253 yards a game which should be able to take advantage as the Bearcats have given up some big plays down field the past couple weeks. Cincinnati's running game is poor (107 yards per game, 3.2 per carry) which is one reason they are getting just 14 first downs per game. The Zips have the Bearcats in a good spot here as they may be looking ahead to next week's big game against Louisville. I look for this to be a very close game that could be decided by field goal either way. The Zips could pull the upset here and getting 6 is too hard to resist when two teams are this evenly matched. Take the Zips plus the points.
Game: Oregon at California (Saturday 10/07 8:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 stars on Oregon +5.5
This should be one the better games of the year in the Pac-10. Oregon and Dennis Dixon head into Cal to challenge Nate Longshore and company. Cal has been one of the best teams in the country since its opening defeat by Tennessee, and Oregon has been fantastic as well. There are still a lot of question marks surrounding both of these teams heading into this game. Some will be answered here. This line looks high when you consider that Oregon should be able to keep Cal's offense on the sidelines with Jonathan Stewart and Dixon. Longshore and the Cal offense have made a living from the big play to date, and have also had some tremendous special teams play as well. Oregon has found a way to take care of business versus Cal of late as the Ducks are 9-2 both straight-up and against the spread in the last eleven meetings including four wins out of the last five played here at Cal. Oregon is a fast starter (7-0 ATS on the road in early season play the past three seasons). Expect a high scoring thriller that comes down to the final seconds. Take the dog who has a legitimate shot at the outright win.
|
|
| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
Tell a Friend
Please Tell A Friend about
the newsletter because they will thank you for it!
|
Are
you getting exactly the newsletters you want?
Choose from NFL, College Football, NCAA Basketball, NBA, MLB, NHL, Horse Racing, Poker News and Fantasy Football Advice.
To
stop receiving this or add yourself to other sports picks
or poker newsletters, change your email preferences or view your account/order history, go to your Subscription Management Page here. |
The
information in this newsletter is based on opinion is intended
for informational purposes only. No guaranteees or warranties
are implied. Use this information at your own risk. Subscription
to this newsletter is predicated on acceptance of Wunderdog
Sports Picks website terms.
Good Luck.
The Wunderdog
College Football Picks from freeunderdog.com
877.DOG.WINS
P.O. Box 45
Golden,
CO 80402 |
 |