College Football Expert Pick - October 03, 2007
While we passed on last night's game, we like a side tonight.
Today's NCAA Football Picks:
Game: Rice at Southern Mississippi (Wednesday 10/03 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Southern Mississippi -20.5
Southern Miss will be at home tonight for the first time against a D-1A opponent. Rice will enter having allowed 53 points per game in their three D-1 games. With just six returning starters on defense, this team has gotten worse compared to last years' squad that allowed 33 ppg. Rice had a winning record last year even though they were outgained. Southern Miss has a veteran QB and WR and should be able to put up a ton of points vs. a defense that is allowing nearly 500 yards per game. Under head coach Jeff Bower, S. Miss is 10-1 ATS at home vs. poor defensive teams (those allowing 425+ yards per game). The Eagles return the most players they have in a long time on defense with 8. The last time they did that, they allowed under 15 ppg. This is the first real home game, so they will certainly play with energy after three straight on the road. They should be able to name their score here, as they dominate both sides of the ball. The Eagles are 21-12 ATS in their last 33 as a favorite while the Owls are just 5-9 ATS the past three years as a road underdog. Southern Miss is coming off a pasting at the hands of Boise State. But that's a good thing here as the Eagles are 12-4 ATS under Bower following a blowout loss of 17+ points.
NCAA Football Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NCAA Football Picks Newsletters:
NCAA-Football-Picks-September-28-2007
Air Force heads to Annapolis to play for the Commander-in-Chief trophy in what is the third road game in four weeks for the Falcons. Under new head coach Troy Calhoun, Air Force has pulled o...
NCAA-Football-Picks-September-21-2007
Oklahoma has roared out of the games to a perfect 3-0 mark both SU and ATS. They have outscored opponents 184-26. They have dominated completely. A perfect time to fade them. Oddsmakers opened this on...
NCAA-Football-Picks-September-19-2007
In the first road test for the Aggies, we like their chances against a Miami team that struggled mightily in their first game vs. a Big 12 opponent. The Hurricanes lost 13-51 to Oklahoma in week two. ...
NCAA-Football-Picks-September-13-2007
Troy comes home licking their wounds after back-to-back losses on the road at Arkansas and Florida. Talk about a tough schedule! They gave up 105 total points which is why they are getting double digi...
NCAA-Football-Picks-September-06-2007
70% of the betting public is on Oregon State in this one. We're on the other side. Oregon State plays their second straight Thursday night game here. They won their first game over Utah in convinc...
