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Picks Football - November 29, 2007

We have a play on the total tonight.

Today's NCAA Football Picks:

Game: Rutgers at Louisville (Thursday 11/29 7:45 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 60 -110

This has been a very disappointing season for Louisville. What was thought to be National Champion contender has fallen far below expectations. Rutgers is probably right where they should be, although expectations off of last year's success may dilute what they have done so far. Ray Rice is amongst the best backs in the country and Rutgers will be trying to run a lot to keep the potent Louisville offense off the field. There is another reason however, and that is QB Teel. Teel left the game vs Pittsburgh early because of a nagging thumb injury, only to return late. His backup Jabu Lovelace has been unable to move the team all year. He is just 7-23 and 69 yards. If Teel is ineffective, or takes a hit on his nagging thumb, Rutgers will be in big trouble. Louisville's offense produced 40.7 ppg over the first six games and many thought this offense would be unstoppable. The problem is the Big East is loaded with good pass defense teams, and it has really shown, as Louisville has produced just 22.3 ppg vs W. Virginia (16th ranked pass defense), Uconn (14th), S. Florida (42nd) and Pitt (6th). Rutgers brings in the #2 ranked pass defense, and we don't see Louisville putting up more than 30 here. Rutgers, with an ailing Mike Teel, will not have as easy going as you might think. We like the UNDER here, as the public sees this Louisville offense exploding. We see a different picture.


NCAA Football Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NCAA Football Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Football-Picks-November-23-2007
It's been over a decade and a half since the Virginia Cavaliers mattered in College Football. They now host a very important game against their hated cross-state rival for a trip to the ACC title ...

NCAA-Football-Picks-November-15-2007
Throw out the records when these teams square off, because they ultimately don't decide the issue. Prior to the season starting, this game was supposed to be a game featuring two potentially undef...

NCAA-Football-Picks-November-13-2007
These teams are even in many ways. Both come in at 5-5 and the series is about even, with Toledo up 16-15. The Rockets have been the hotter team of late, but it certainly has nothing to do with their ...

NCAA-Football-Picks-November-08-2007
Arizona State, as have many college football teams this year, saw the magic come to an end last week as they were handed their first defeat at Oregon. This is yet another team that has not shown ...

NCAA-Football-Picks-November-07-2007
Akron sure takes on the face of a different team when they play in front of the home crowd. The Zips have not had too many potent teams, but when playing at home they can bring it. The Zips are 25-10 ...

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