Espn Expert Football Pick - November 13, 2007
We're off a winning week 11 hitting three of five. We start off week 12 with a Tuesday Night pick...
Today's NCAA Football Picks:
Game: Toledo at Ball State (Tuesday 11/13 7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Toledo +7
These teams are even in many ways. Both come in at 5-5 and the series is about even, with Toledo up 16-15. The Rockets have been the hotter team of late, but it certainly has nothing to do with their defense. It is the offense that has really been clicking, producing 55 ppg over the last three. And, over those three games, their maligned defense has looked decent. They have turned their season around after an 0-3 start, having won three straight and five of their last seven. Ball State has dropped two straight and three of five. Teams with terrible defenses (allowing 35+) after a big win by 21+ points are 34-7 ATS over the past decade including a perfect 6-0 this season! Under head coach Tom Amstutz, Toledo has covered 20 of their last 26 games coming off a 42+ point performance including 8-1 ATS after scoring 50+. Both these teams are capable of moving the ball on each other, and are pretty even overall, with the exception that they appear to be heading in opposite directions. So we'll grab the points in this one. This line is +7 already at some books (Bodog, 5Dimes). Should be +7 at most books by kickoff. If not, buy the 1/2 point.
NCAA Football Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NCAA Football Picks Newsletters:
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NCAA-Football-Picks-November-07-2007
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NCAA-Football-Picks-November-02-2007
UCLA is a tough team to figure out. So far they have dissapointed and underperformed, and that usually points to leadership issues or hidden team problems. Last week they went to Washington State and ...
NCAA-Football-Picks-October-26-2007
Defense surely has not been the calling card for this Louisville team, but there are signs that it is coming together. They allowed an average of 40 ppg in weeks 2-4, but have since held good opponent...
NCAA-Football-Picks-October-25-2007
Well the good news here is that one Top 10 team will NOT lose. In the craziest year in college football in recent memory, the top teams continue to drop like flies. Last week it was #2 USF's turn....
