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Football Handicapping Services - November 03, 2009

We went 3-4 last week as our struggles continue. We look to get back on the right track with a pick in tonight's MAC matchup between Bowling Green and Buffalo...

Today's NCAA Football Picks:

Game: Bowling Green at Buffalo (Tuesday 11/03 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Bowling Green +3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The oddsmakers have basically rated this game even, with Buffalo getting a home-field nod in the betting line. But, are these teams really equal? Buffalo took a blow when their leading rusher of all time, James Starks, opted for season-ending shoulder surgery in the offseason, but it has gotten worse. Not only have they lost their top back, but the three on the depth chart immediately following are all questionable with ankle injuries, leaving a lot of holes in the Bulls’ running game. They are also hobbled with a banged-up offensive line. Meanwhile, the Falcons get back their best defensive player after a long suspension in PJ Mahone. Mahone was the Falcon's tackle leader a year ago, and led with 21 after just two games before the suspension. The Falcons held two good teams, Troy and Missouri, to 3.8 yards per carry. But when Mahone was suspended, they could not stop the run. With him back, I expect the defense to once again shore up. Tyler Sheehan provides a lot of offense at QB for Bowling Green with close to 9,000 career yards and 58 TDs. I don't see Buffalo's banged-up offense being able to stay with the Falcons here. BG is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog the past three seasons and they get the call here.

NCAA Football Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NCAA Football Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-29-2009
The Auburn offense looked like the real deal when they opened the season with four wins. They piled up the yardage and points, averaging 45.3 points per game in the process. But then the schedule got ...

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-22-2009
The Chippewas boast the best overall record in the MAC at 6-0, as well as the best record in the Conference at 4-0. They will face a Bowling Green team that has suffered just one loss in the conferenc...

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-21-2009
The Golden Hurricane will bring the nation's leading offense into the Sun Bowl for a Conference USA clash on ESPN. Tulsa isn't quite as offensive as they have been in the past, but they still ...

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-15-2009
This is an intriguing game. The Hawkeyes remain one of only eight unbeaten teams in NCAA Football. They've won ten straight games dating back to last season. They face the Badgers who have just on...

NCAA-Football-Picks-October-08-2009
Eastern Michigan suffered a serious blow when QB Andy Schmitt went down for the season with an injury and they simply aren't the type of program that can pull another competent QB right off t...

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