Free Ncaa Football Predictions - January 06, 2010

We posted another set of winning Bowl picks from January 1-2 going 4-3 for +6.9 units. Overall in the Bowls now we are 19-7 (73%) for +50.6 units (over $5,000 for $100 players). Below are the next set of picks which will take us through January 6th. My pick on the National Championship game will be released Thursday morning early. Although I have a slight lean on Boise State plus the points in the Fiesta Bowl, I'm passing on that game. I like the GMAC Bowl and I love the Orange Bowl.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	41-21 last 62 picks	66%	+$5270
CFB	23-9 last 32 picks	72%	+$5540
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	69-56 last 125 picks	55%	+$2650
NBA	30-21 last 51 picks	59%	+$1520
NHL	186-113 last 299 picks	62%	+$15920
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$44760

 

Today's NCAA Football Picks:

Game: Iowa vs. Georgia Tech (Tuesday 1/05 8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Iowa +5.5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

FedEx Orange Bowl - Land Shark Stadium, Miami, FL. The public loves offense but your pocketbook should love defense. This is a vicious Iowa defense that has speed on the which will help negate the Georgia Tech triple-option attack. This Iowa team allowed just 15.5 points per game on the season including 12.6 in per game in five road contests. They kept eight of twelve opponents to 17 points or less. The one-dimensional Tech offense will struggle to get things going here as they are used to vs. this Iowa defense that kept opponents to under 300 yards per game. All you have to do is look at Bowl teams this year rated in the top 10 in defense (as is Iowa), and the results are eye-popping. Nebraska, Florida, Penn State, Ohio State and Air Force have all played thus far and each one of them won their games both ATS and straight-up! Giving points in a game like this is risky business, because I just don't see Tech getting to 20 here. The Tech defense is very vulnerable, having allowed eight opponents this year to torch them for 27 or more points. I would not be surprised to see Iowa turn in a defensive score here, or at least provide a short field for the offense. This Iowa team has gone 7-0 ATS since last season vs. winning teams and 8-1 ATS over the past three seasons vs. good rushing teams that average 200+ yards per game on the ground. They are also 11-3 ATS the past three seasons as an underdog. Iowa gets the call here.

FedEx Orange Bowl - Land Shark Stadium, Miami, FL.  There is nothing like backing a defensive team in a Bowl game. Looking at this Iowa defense, they are top 10 in yards allowed, which has translated exactly in points allowed, also ranked No. 10 at 15.5 points per game. There have been five Bowl teams from the defensive top 10 played as of this posting, and they all have one thing in common. They all won and covered their games. That is 5-0 straight up, and 5-0 ATS. Iowa is next. Tech's strength is their option running game. But, Iowa can defeat that with their team speed. The Hawkeyes are 13-1 straight-up in in the Kirk Ferentz era vs. teams that rush for 5.3+ yards per carry. Take Iowa on the moneyline.

GMAC Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, AL. The Troy Trojans will be making their second consecutive Bowl appearance, after losing to Southern Miss a year ago. They certainly didn't have too many tough encounters in a weak Sun Belt Conference this season. When they stepped out, they were thrashed including a 31-14 setback to an ordinary MAC team in Bowling Green. How did they fare vs. Bowl teams? The Trojans lost to Florida by 50 points, to Arkansas by 36 and to Bowling Green by 17. CMU played a very difficult out-of-conference schedule and still went 11-2 this year. They lost to Arizona by just 13 and they beat Michigan State outright. They also beat the aforementioned Bowling Green 24-10. Their closest in-conference game came early, a 7-point win. No team came within single digits on CMU the rest of the way in eight games. The Trojans will not be able to stop Dan LeFevour who set records both in the air and on the ground where he has over 700 yards. Central Michigan won their games this year by an average margin of 33-17 and they went 6-2 on the road. Troy was just 4-3 on the road, actually getting outscored 29-36 on average! The Trojans have to match scores to win, but unfortunately they are out-manned on both sides of the ball. I like the Chippewas to win and cover here.

NCAA Football Picks Resources:

• Check out our updated football against-the-spread records.
• Updated today: College football betting philosophy.
• Check out NCAA football lines here.
• Updated today: 2009 college football preview.
• View our updated college football weekly predictions.
• View 2009 college football prior picks results here.
• Take a look at our college football prior picks here.
• Hop over to our college football picks blog here.
• View our sportsbook reviews football here.
• Check out our updated Football Game-of-Week Analysis.

Check out the last five NCAA Football Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Football-Picks-January-02-2010
Outback Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL. Northwestern closed the season strong by winning two of their last three games with two of those wins coming against nationally ranked teams. The Wild...

NCAA-Football-Picks-December-28-2009
Independence Bowl - Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA. The Texas A&M Aggies have made great strides, especially on offense. In their season finale, they hung 39 on #2 Texas, who hadn't all...

NCAA-Football-Picks-December-26-2009
New Mexico Bowl - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM. Fresno State will be making their 10th Bowl appearance in the last 11 years, and their second straight trip to the New Mexico Bowl. They lost to...

NCAA-Football-Picks-December-10-2009
This is one of the greatest rivalries in all of sports, entering its 110th edition. Army has more at stake here than beating their arch-rival. A win makes them Bowl eligible and Temple would await the...

NCAA-Football-Picks-December-03-2009
Dan LeFevour is the MAC's all-0time leader in passing yards and he is the main reason the Chippewas are double-digit favorites here. His team scored 34.2 points per game this season and Ohio score...