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Final Four Pick - March 17, 2010We had a minor set back yesterday going 3-4 bringing our four day totals to 11-8 for +6.9 units. Today we look to come back with four premium picks including three four unit plays. My completed NCAA Tournament Bracket is ready! Get it here for $15.
 Today's NCAA Basketball Picks: The Bearcats really had it going and looked like they were on their way to an NCAA Tournament bid, but then the wheels fell off. The Bearcats finished the regular season at 2-7 in their last nine games, with their biggest margin in their last three wins was five points. Weber St. can play losing three games all season long by 10+ points. I expect against a Big East team here they will be bringing it. They have been 25-6-1 ATS after a straight up loss in their last 32. The Bearcats are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 home games and I don't see them motivated here. I'll go with Weber St.Game: Duquense at Princeton (7:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Duquense +4.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6) Princeton finds themselves in the unfamiliar role as a post-season favorite. While they played very well in the Ivy when they stepped out vs similar teams early from mid level conferences, they stumbled vs Rutgers, California and George Washington, losing all three by an average of 13.3ppg. Duquense struggled in an improved Atl-10, but did well early vs a schedule of "Ivy" caliber conferences, posting a 9-4 mark before A-10 play. The Tigers are not good at home following an ATS loss, where over their last 35 games they stand at 11-23-1 ATS. Princeton's trouble outside of the Ivy continues and I'll go with Duquense here.Game: St. John's at Memphis (9:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on St. John's +7 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6) The Memphis Tigers are in unfamiliar territory after being a big player in the NCAA Tournament for the past several years. St. John's is a veteran team, very athletic and looking to get a post-season win. The Tigers are vastly overrated and finished their last 23 games at 7-16 ATS. St. John's after opening just a miserable 2-8 in Big East play, came on to finish 5-5 in their last ten, including a win in the Big east Tournament. Those numbers transfer to a 5-1 ATS mark for the Red Storm in their last six on the road. They have enough to make this one a game decided at the wire, and I'll go with St. John's here.Game: Boston U. at Oregon State (10:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Oregon State -7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7) This will be the first time all season BU has crossed the Mississippi River and they will be all the way out on the left coast to face Oregon St. A tough trip for them. Oregon St. has been at the bottom of the Pac-10 for awhile, but showed big improvements as they went 18-8 ATS meaning they are an undervalued team. They beat Cal and Oregon here by 20, as well as beating Arizona, so this team has it in them to come up big. Last year they played four home games in the post-season, won and covered them all, so this is a big deal for a team that has been down. Their last 32 games show a 24-8 ATS mark and that includes an amazing 22-4 ATS vs a team with a winning record. I'll go with Oregon St. here. Results: 1-3 NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters: NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-16-2010 NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-15-2010 NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-14-2010 NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-13-2010 NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-12-2010 |
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