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Ncaa Basketball Bracket Picks - March 14, 2009

We picked up the 3-0 sweep last night to get us back on track with +8.2 units. Since the first week of January, our CBB picks are 108-85. Today, we put a bow on the conference tournaments with three more picks.

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Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Akron vs. Buffalo (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 122.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Aside from an OT game with Toledo, the Zips have been very methodical, and defensive to reach this game vs Buffalo, and late in the season as well. The Zips have allowed just 55.3ppg in their last 7 MAC contests. Buffalo has seen 8 of their last 11 non OT games finish with at least 1 team in the 50s. The bigger the game, the bigger the defensive effort by the zips, who have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 vs .600+ teams. A lot on the line here, and defense prevails once again, and I like this one to go under the total.
Game: Jackson State at Alabama State (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 131.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

These teams don't play lined games until we get to their conference championship game, and that puts pressure on the oddsmakers to provide a good line. They missed on this one as the pressure has mounted on these teams - the results have been less scoring. Alabama State is a good defensive team, not allowing 11 of their last 16 opponents above 60. Jackson State has turned up the defensive intensity as well, as their two opponents to get here, have averaged just 59 ppg against them. Loser-goes-home games tend to play tight and slow, so this one goes UNDER the total.

Game: Pacific vs. C S Northridge (11:55 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 130.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Pacific has been a traditionally strong team in the Big West, and those teams have always had a signature defense. This year’s team is no exception. Their last nine games have seen seven opponents fail to top the 60-point mark and consequently, it has led to eight of the nine failing to reach the total. The last game between these teams saw a similar end as they combined for just 117 points. Pacific is also now 24-8 to the UNDER as a small favorite of up to five, while CS Northridge is now 7-1 in their last eight against teams .500 or better. The series concludes that the UNDER is the play here as nine of the last 11 have slipped under the total, which is the call for this one.

Results: 2-1

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-13-2009
UC Santa Barbara is off a big finish in Big West play, as they closed the season on a 7-1 run and made that 8-1 with their win last night over Fullerton. The defensive effort has made the difference a...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-12-2009
The Ball State Cardinals are a slow-paced team that relies on defense to keep them in games. They have played 11 conference games where the opponent has not gotten out of the 40s and 50s, and they hav...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-11-2009
The Golden Knights didn't close the season in conference play the way they would have liked, but have been an over-achieving team playing above the line. They closed the Conference USA slate with ...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-10-2009
The Georgetown Hoyas slipped during the middle part of the season, and it has left them at 16-13. They are still alive in many bracketologist’s eyes for an at-large tourney bid based on the fact...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-09-2009
Looking at this Colonial Conference Tournament, it has been a defensive struggle in just about each and every game, with nine of the 10 games finishing under the total thus far. That isn't much of...

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