Free March Madness Predictions - March 10, 2009

We added another college hoops win yesterday, nailing our lone pick for +3.6 units. Last night's winner boosted our three-month CBB run to 57%, 98-74 for +28.4 units. Three more premium picks today as the conference tournaments roll on.

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Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Georgetown vs. St. John's (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Georgetown -6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Georgetown Hoyas slipped during the middle part of the season, and it has left them at 16-13. They are still alive in many bracketologist’s eyes for an at-large tourney bid based on the fact they have big wins and the No. 1 most difficult schedule in the country. I would expect them to come out here with their "A" game for this one. St. John's was not a good team at the beginning of the season, and with the injuries they have sustained, they certainly aren't any better now. They surprised Georgetown here late in the season, and it was because Georgetown was a no-show off the glass getting out-rebounded by an amazing 20 boards. They outplayed them in every other aspect of the game. I look for a turnaround in this one as the Hoyas win, cover, and advance.

Notre Dame has shown some offense in spurts this season but for Rutgers, there just isn't any firepower on the floor and they like a slow-paced game. The Scarlet Knights have scored in the 40s in four Big East games this season and in the 50s in four others. The Irish have scored 74 or less in 13 of their 18 Big East games. The odds are that they will have to do better than that to push this one over, but they won't have a willing partner in Rutgers. Rutgers has played 11 of their last 12 Big East tilts to the UNDER, while Notre Dame is 5-0 as a neutral-site favorite to the UNDER, which is my call here.

Here we go again with the Hilltoppers. They lost most of their NCAA Tourney team from a year ago, and were supposed to be in a rebuilding year. Twenty-one wins later, they are back in the Sun Belt Championship game looking down the barrel at another bid. This is a team that has steadily gotten better as the influx of talent is maturing, and W. Kentucky finished the season 14-2, after a 7-6 start. The Jaguars were supposed to be here, but not against W. Kentucky and now face a team that has already beaten them twice this season. The Jags have not finished strong, going just 4-10 ATS in their last 14, and are now just 5-14 ATS against teams with winning records. Contrast that with the Hilltoppers who are now 23-9-1 ATS against teams with a winning record, and have run their string at neutral sites to 7-0 ATS in their last seven appearances as a favorite. I have to back the Hilltoppers here.

Results: 2-1

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Hop over to our 2008 season NCAA basketball handicapping preview here.
• Here we show our NCAA basketball betting.
• View our updated 2008 college basketball prior pick season results.
• Check out our updated college basketball sports handicapping philosophy.
• Don't forget to visit our NCAA basketball Game-of-Day Analysis.
• Don't forget to read our NCAA basketball blog here.
• Here we show our NCAA basketball pick.
• Here we show our college basketball odds and lines.
• Here we show our ncaa tournament picks.
• Check out NCAA basketball ATS standings here.
• Read our march madness picks here.
• View NCAA basketball previous picks here.

Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-09-2009
Looking at this Colonial Conference Tournament, it has been a defensive struggle in just about each and every game, with nine of the 10 games finishing under the total thus far. That isn't much of...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-08-2009
Arkansas is 2-13 this season in SEC play and they are 2-8 on the road. Their defense allows 78 points per game on the road while Vanderbilt holds foes to 63 points per game at home - that's a mass...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-07-2009
Georgia St. has really come on strong late in the season. They posted just five wins against div-1 teams all year, but suddenly have won five of their last six. They have been a very methodical team t...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-06-2009
It took awhile for Georgia St. to come together as a team, but they were tough down the stretch. They opened the season at 5-16 and could have packed it in, but to their credit, hung in there and bega...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-05-2009
The Matadors are 10-4 in league play and the Aggies are just 5-7 at home. So, laying a tiny price on this one looks good. Cal Davis is coming off a loss to UCSB, but they covered the spread in that ga...