We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Wichita St. at N. Iowa (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on N. Iowa -3.5

Wichita St. got off to a terrific start, at 9-0, but since has been just 5-8. This clearly is not the same team as last season. They have already lost 5 of 6 on the road in the MVC while N. Iowa continues its home dominance winning all but one game at home. N. Iowa already owns a win at Wichita St. and since they seldom lose at home, we expect them to come out with a comfortable win vs a struggling Wichita St. team.

Have we gone mad? N. Illinois has lost 15 of their last 16 and have failed to cover their last six. They have been blown out by an average of 20 ppg in their last three games. So why would we even consider a play on this team? It's kind of like the stock market. Buy on the bad news and sell on the good news. It is where the value is in capping a game as well, especially when there is support. Miami, Ohio is the classic under-achiever. They constantly play to the level of the competition. The last 11 times this team has been a favorite of 10+ they have covered just two times. The last four times they were favored from 8-9.5 they failed to cover a single game. So in 15 games where they were favored by 8+ they have managed two covers. This is also a team that struggles to put points on the board as they average just 57 a game. Giving a bundle, and having trouble scoring, and showing all the signs of disinterest vs. a lousy opponent point to taking that bundle in this one.

Colorado is really having a tough time, especially on the road this season. They stand at 0-6 ATS, and have lost five of the six by double digits. Colorado has never been a good road team, even last year when they won 20 games, four of their last five on the road resulted in double digit blowouts. They problem is so many things it is hard to single out any one thing. They have turned the ball over 112 times in their last five road games, or over 22 per game, and at the same time have just 54 assists! That is worse than a 1:2 ratio. They also only shoot at 39% and 28% from three, and hit just 61% of their FT's. Defensively they give up 50% on the road and 39% from three, and subsequently are getting outscored by 20 points a game. Baylor is hitting 50% at home, and 40% from three, as well as owning a +8 on the boards at home. When you look at this picture, it looks like comparing a top 10 team to a team that is near the bottom. Colorado is ranked 300+ in points allowed, FG percentage, and defending the three pointer, as well as FG percentage and 3-pt FG percentage offensively. This game has major blowout potential.