We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: N Texas at S Alabama (2:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on S Alabama -6.5

S. Alabama is happy to see N. Texas on their schedule as they have won and covered all four of these games the past four years. S. Alabama has won seven straight games, failing to cover the spread in just one of them. They are 8-2 at home this year including 4-2 ATS. N. Texas is 56-5 on the road including 3-5 ATS. N. Texas is off a win but they are just 2-12 ATS the past three seasons off a win against a conference rival. They are also 2-11 ATS on the road after a double-digit win and 2-12 ATS off two consecutive wins the past three seasons. Fade a terrible road team in a bad situation here.

LSU has certainly been a disappointment this season as the competition has gotten tough, it has gotten progressively harder for them to score. This is a team that shoots 45% on the season but those numbers are very misleading. They shot an average of 56% vs. Miss Valley State, Samford, and Wright State, finding the bottom of the net vs. the cupcakes. But they have shot just 37.8% in their last six games, and outside of the three patsies mentioned above, they have not shot over 45% vs. anyone! A team that controlled the boards out-rebounding opponents in seven of eight games have now been -6 in two straight games. The wheels have completely fallen off. Georgia continues to improve and has a lot of offensive weapons, especially at home where they connect on 51% and 40% from beyond the arc, while allowing just under 40% to their opponents. LSU has yet to cover in a road game 0-6 so far, and is 0-8 on the season vs. good teams that win 60% of their games or more. They are only 3-12 ATS vs teams with a winning record. Georgia by double digits!

The #2 team in the nation rolls into Stanford tonight and of course the public is all over UCLA (about 70% of public money rolling in on the Bruins). The public loves ranked teams vs. unranked opponents, especially when thtat ranked team is coming off a huge blowout win. UCLA crushed California by 16 points on Thursday. But Stanford is playing well themselves. They handed USC a 15 point whopping on Thursday and they have won and covered five of their last six games. This is a huge game for them at home and we expect a very good showing. Last year UCLA came in here and beat a favored Stanford team by 19 points. You can bet this game has been circled for the Cardinal who have revenge on their minds. They would love nothing more than to play spoiler tonight. The Trent Johnson-led Cardinal are 10-1 ATS as a home underdog and 15-4 ATS at home vs. top-level teams (those that outscore opponents by 8+ ppg)! Take the motivated home dog plus the points here.