We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Cleveland State at Illinois Chicago (3:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Illinois Chicago -7.5
Illinois Chicago is on a skid having lost three in a row SU and ATS. Their last game was an embarrassment as they lost by 20 to Wisconsin Green-Bay. They will come out swinging here. THey are 7-2 at home and know they can't afford another underperforming game here. Against Cleveland State, they should be able to take out their frustrations. Cleveland State is 2-9 on the road scoring just 60.7 ppg. In conference play they have won just one game out of eight and their scoring has dropped to 57 ppg. Against common opponents this year, Cleveland State has managed 56 ppg while Illinois Chicago has put up 67.1. Illinois Chicago has won and covered five of the last six in this series and they do it again here in a blowout.
Game: Texas Tech at Missouri (4:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 148.5 -110
Texas Tech is off an upset win over cross-state Texas A&M and they left a lot on the court in that game. This is a team that is 6-3 UNDER on the road this season. Their defense has stepped up of late allowing just 62.2 ppg vs. conference opponents. Missouri has reversed their early trend of scoring heavily and have calmed down a bit of late. This should be a closely-fought battle with defense playing a key role. Missouri knows they need to play better defense then they have in conference games to win this. Go UNDER.
Game: Air Force at B Y U (6:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on B Y U -2
It's hard to go against a great shooting Air Force team but they have come back down a bit recently. It is even harder to consider playing against one of the top home-courts in the country. BYU had one bad season in 04-05 where they finished at 9-21. All other years, when they have had winning teams back to 99-00, they have been 100-5 at home. They are 58-26 ATS in all games and 32-13 when favored by single digits. This is a big game, and you can bet they will show up! Lay the small number.
Game: S Carolina at Mississippi State (7:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Mississippi State -13
Mississippi State is undervalued right now as evidenced by four straight ATS wins. In the big favorite role they are 4-0 ATS this season as they have crushed S. Alabama, New Orleans, Mississippi and Auburn. South Carolina is 1-4 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points. At home Mississippi State is particularly lethal. They are 10-2 and a perfect 7-0 ATS beating opponents by an average of 17 points per game! S. Carolina is playing horrible (1-4 in their last five games losing on average 56-75). Mississippi is a quality team that brings it every game as evidenced by their overall 10-3 ATS mark and 8-2 ATS mark vs. winning teams this season. They win big.
Game: Oregon at Washington State (10:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Washington State -4
This is a bad spot for Oregon. They will have Brooks back but this is a huge spot for a very solid Washington State team. Oregon beat them three times last year so this is a triple revenge spot for Washington State. They allow just 39% shooting at home and a meager 55.5 ppg. They also control the ball as they turn it over just 10 times per game. We look for Washington State to come away with the win and cover at home.
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