We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Kentucky at Georgia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Georgia -2

Kentucky suffered from a defensive breakdown at home in a loss to Vandy. Vanderbilt shot 59% in the second half and over 50% for the game. They will be hard pressed to win at Georgia tonight without a defensive effort. Seems like Kentucky has the most trouble with teams that score and especially on the SEC road, where single digit home favorites have been 8-1 ATS this season. Kentucky is just 7-17 ATS vs teams that score 77+ over the last three years. Look for Georgia to get the home win in this one.

William & Mary continues to get no respect and at 10-8 is a much improved team this season. Old Dominion is coming off of two consecutive losses and they have lost three of their last five so they have not been playing very well right now. William & Mary has suffered just two losses all season by more than the 13 offered here. ODU is prone to underperforming vs. winning teams so we will take them in this spot.

Florida Atlantic is a big-time OVER team having gone OVER 9 of 14 times this season including three out of four at home. They don't play a lick of defense on the road and at home they score a lot. But they do play decent defense at home, holding opponents to 43.5% FG and 71 ppg. Their offense has calmed down of late scoring above 68 just twice in their last five games. For a LA-Lafayette team that really struggles on the road, this could be a low scoring game. Lafayette is 0-9 on the road because they score just 60.9 ppg. Lafayette won last game as an underdog and did it with defense. Look for them to bring that same mindset into this game and for it to go UNDER.

This is a battle of two top teams in the Big 12. Texas Tech is playing extremely well right now with Jackson and Zeno having been their dynamic duo. Jackson is scoring over 20 per game and is hitting an unbelievable 50% from beyond the arc. Zeno has been a great second option netting 16.3 ppg. A&M has been unbeatable at home but just 7-7 away from home the last two years. We like a team that has a good chance of getting the straight-up win at home getting points. Tech is the play.

In what should be a defensive battle, Michigan comes in red-hot having shot 69% in the second half of their last win. Wisconsin has been beating everyone and stands at 19-1. Home teams are tough to beat in the Big 10, but laying this kind of number against a solid defensive team that is peaking offensively may be too much to ask. Wisconsin has been a serious overlay in the Big 10, and stands at just 1-2 ATS at home. We look for a game played much closer, and we will ride the bundle of points.