College Hoops Predictions - January 23, 2010

We took the night off from college hoops yesterday and return with eight premium picks including a pair of 4-unit picks and a moneyline upset play.

Over the last six weeks we are 112-86 in college hoops for +67 units.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	44-28 last 72 picks	61%	+$4090
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	112-86 last 198 picks	57%	+$6650
NHL	228-143 last 371 picks	61%	+$19050
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$49690

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Hofstra at Drexel (12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Hofstra +6.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Drexel Dragons are down this year as are the Hofstra Pride. Drexel is just 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 in the role of a favorite. They have struggled to find a consistent scorer behind Jamie Harris as he is the only Dragon providing double-digits on the season, and they simply have no one to keep the defenses honest that can also consistently hit 3's so this team goes through offensive droughts. The Pride has lost six of their last seven, but has fared well in the role of a dog where they are 3-2 ATS in their last five. They will have the best player on the floor for this one in Charlie Jenkins, so I like Hofstra in this one.

I really think this game is an even matchup, and that makes me like Hofstra on the moneyline. Down the stretch in a tight game, they will have the guy that can take a game over and win it in Charlie Jenkins. The Pride has excelled on the road vs. very good teams as they are 15-4-2 ATS vs. teams that are .600+ at home. I'll play Hofstra on the moneyline.

I think many have noticed that St. John's is a vastly improved team from a year ago, especially getting Mason Jr. back. What is forgotten is just how improved this Villanova team is as well because they were so good last year. They have played some tough teams but have emerged as a 17-1 team, and are poised to be a Final Four contender. St. John's, as much as they have improved, will have a tough time even making it to the bubble in the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats not only have a star in Scottie Reynolds, they have four other 10+ point scorers, so if he is doubled, the options just simply out-weigh what St. John's can do here. I like the Wildcats in this one.

The Golden Eagles really went soft in the early going winning three of their first five games vs. non-Div1 competition, and claimed their fourth a bit later. That is four automatic wins tacked on to a team that is 10-8 on the season. The real record is 6-8 when you get right to it, so they are over-valued in this one by quite a bit. East Carolina hasn't been knocking down the wins, but that isn't what matters here. What does matter is that they are 5-1 ATS when posted as a double-digit dog, and I think they are a "false" double-digit dog here because Southern Miss has a very suspect record. The Golden Eagles aren't exactly taking it out on teams with a winning percentage of .400 or less as they are just 0-5 ATS in their last fivr. I'll go with the overlay here, and play on East Carolina.

The Big-12 has been a showcase for the home court thus far in the 2009-10 NCAAB season. The Big-12 stands at 123-6 at home, with the top eight teams at a stunning 84-0. Missouri has been pounding teams at home winning 12 of their 13 here by 13 or more points. The Cornhuskers were looking good until the real schedule started in the Big-12, and they are now 0-3 in conference play despite having two of the three at home. The Huskers have long standing issues on the road at just 18-38-1 ATS in their last 57 roadies, while Mizzou continues the home domination at 20-6 ATS in their last 26 at home. I'll go with Missouri here.

Both of these teams can score and they have gone a combined 16-8 to the OVER. That leads to the public pushing the total up and we look to the other side for value. Let's not forget that Maryland can also play great defense. They've allowed 65 points per game on the season (63.5 per game at home). In conference play, their high-flying offense has been brought down a bit to 77 ppg. Everyone expects this game to fly OVER and that's when we need to look the other way as things aren't that easy. Play this one UNDER the total.

Columbia has lived and died from the 3-point line, but making them against an athletic Cornell team is another story. Cornell is playing like a major conference team in the Ivy League where they simply aren't going to face many obstacles. The Big Red won on the road in the Ivy a year ago by an average margin of 21.3 points per game. The scary part is this is the same team, but more experienced and seasoned. The Lions aren’t roaring either as a home dog, as the home court in the Ivy League means very little, and the Lions are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a home dog. I'll go with Cornell in this one.

Tennessee Martin may be on the bottom rung of the NCAAB ladder this season. The Skyhawks’ lone two wins have come against non-Div1 opponents, standing at 0-15 otherwise and winless on the road overall. They have been very futile with each of their last 10 losses coming by double-digits, and all but one on the season by less than 10, and that was at home. They are a brutal 2-14 ATS as an underdog in their last 16. Eastern Illinois is certainly not a top team, but have it all over this Skyhawk team. This has been a favorite-dominated series with the chalk cashing seven of the last eight. No surprise here either as E. Illinois gets the call and cover.

Results: 4-4

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:

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• Take a look at our college basketball Game-of-Day-Preview here.
• Hop over to our march madness picks here.
• Check out 2009 NCAA basketball pick results here.
• View our 2009 NCAA basketball handicapping preview here.
• Read our NCAA basketball ATS records here.

Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-21-2010
Penn State hosts an 8-9 Indiana team that has only one road win on the season in six tries. The Hoosiers offense is !BAD! while the Penn State defense is !GOOD2!, allowing just 60 points per game in n...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-20-2010
Put these two teams together in a moneyline parlay. Davidson, a team holding opponents at home to 58 points per game, hosts W. Carolina, a team that allows over 71 points per game on the road. Davidso...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-19-2010
George Mason has been a hot team of late, winning seven of their last nine. Taking a closer look the Patriots have been living off a lot of home cooking with six of the eight at home, as they have stu...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-17-2010
Kent State is 5-1 at home while Bowling Green is just 3-5 on the road. The Falcons have really struggled to score this season, averaging just 56.4 points per game on the road. Kent scores 76.5 per gam...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-16-2010
I think the Sooners would sure like to see Blake Griffin on the court as they have missed him in a big way. Even without him, they are still always a tough out at home because they can really play som...