We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: T C U at Air Force (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on T C U +17.5

Air Force remains overrated at home. Yes, they are 10-0 straight up here but they are just 1-3 ATS! Texas Christian certaintly doesn't have much of a shot here but we do think they'll cover the very lofty 17.5 point number. They are a winning team afterall and Air Force is just 8-18 ATS vs. winning teams over the past three seasons. The Academy is also 0-6 ATS this season vs. conference foes. Look for TCU to play just enough defense here to keep this game from getting too far out of hand.

Alabama faces a difficult task on the SEC road tonight at Auburn. The Tide is an impressive 15-3 on the season,but has struggled of late, especially on the road where they stand at just 1-3. Auburn has already equaled last season's win total of 12, with just two losses. But they have yet to win on the road. Ron Steele, who has struggled through injuries, has not been the All-American player Alabama has expected. Steele is shooting just 41% and is barely averaging double digits per game. Last year he pulled down 3.7 rebounds per game but this year is getting just 1.6 per game and has not had more than 2 rebounds in a game since Dec. 6th. This is a sure sign he is not healthy. Alabama has struggled of late, falling behind Georgia at home by 15 at the half, and winning by 2.  That final margin was the only lead they had the entire game. Last year they went just 3-7 on the road and this year just 1-3. The last 14 road games complete through last year they have been outscored by 92 points! It is impossible to win on the SEC road. Here is testament to that fact. What do all the SEC West teams (ALA, LSU, MISS ST., MISS, ARK and AUB) have in common? They all are winless on the SEC road! Collectively these teams are 0-14 SU on the road, and have been a favorite twice. They are collectively 1-7 ATS as single digit favorites, or dogs! Last year these six SEC West teams went 14-34 SU on the SEC road. That means these teams are now 14-48 SU on the SEC road, or good for winning 22% of the time! We will take the points in this one.

This line is just a bit too large as these teams aren't that unevenly matched. UNLV is 10-1 at home but just 3-5 ATS. San Diego State is a .500 road team and just one game under .500 against the spread. Versus common opponents this year, they have performed similarly (UNLV is 1-4 while SDSU is 1-3). In the last two games played here in Vegas, San Diego State has won and covered both so they have a decent shot here. SDSU is off a cover as a 12 point road dog at Air Force so we know they are playing solid ball right now. Take the points.