Ncaa Basketball Tournament Picks - January 22, 2009

We were a perfect 3-0 last night for +5.5 units. Last night's sweep added to our 72% winning two-week college hoops run as we are now 31-12 during that time (+51.3 units). Today we feature six premium CBB picks including three 4-unit selections today.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
CBB	31-12 last 43 picks	72%	+$5130
NBA	131-95 last 226 picks	58%	+$8540
NFL	71-44 last 115 picks	62%	+$7090
NHL	67-63 last 130 picks	52%	+$2260
TOTAL			+$23020

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Louisiana Monroe at Florida Atlantic (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Florida Atlantic -364 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1.1)

The UL Monroe Warhawks have played 10 games on the road and have yet to break through as they stand at 0-10. Their competition, for the most part, just hasn't been that stiff. The Owls certainly haven't put a lot in the win column, but will be able to smell a much needed win against a struggling opponent. The home losses the Owls have suffered are all to vastly-superior teams, and I'd be shocked if they didn't play this one with energy to grab a home win over a bad opponent. I'll play them on the moneyline in this one.

The Greyhounds have won three-straight games, but are not able to put anyone away. The Greyhounds have played 20 games on the season, and in just one of those contests did they end the game winning by more than 10 points. That gives the Peacocks tons of value coming in here as they have won just once in their last seven games on the season. The big difference is that they are hanging around in all of them, and have not suffered a pointspread loss in any of the seven. The Greyhounds sport a disappointing 5-14 ATS mark against opponents coming into their gym with a .400 or less road mark. The Peacocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 on the road. Too many points in this one and the Peacocks hold close as they have done all season.

The Ragin’ Cajuns haven't been much of a rage on the season at all, as they enter this one with a record of 6-11. They have broken through on the road just once on the season at Troy. What they do well is shoot the ball both inside and outside of the arc, and it should supply enough firepower to hold them under an inflated number here. This edition of the Hilltoppers isn't nearly as talented and experienced as the NCAA Tourney team of a year ago. They have now dropped four of their last five to the "reputation" lines the oddsmakers put in front of them. The Cajuns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 on the road against .600 teams or better, while Western Kentucky is 1-5 ATS after a win. The Cajuns keep this one under the number and I'll back them here.

As pointed out before, the men from Troy allowed the Ragin’ Cajuns their only road win of the season and have also lost at home to Centenary, so the Trojans haven't exactly been burning up the hardwood. The Privateers held their own on the road at Western Kentucky, dropping that contest by just 10. These teams are very evenly matched, and this looks like a live dog to me. The Trojans have been bankrupting backers to the tune of a 9-20-1 ATS mark in their last 30, while the Privateers have cashed seven of 10 against teams that have a home winning percentage of .600 plus. I like the dog here, so the Privateers get the call.

At 3-16 and winless on the road, there is not much to like about what SEMO has done on the season. What is to like is the 3-1 ATS mark when they are a huge dog of 15 or more - winners in the last three. Tennessee Martin has won 10 of 11, but it is easy to see how they are a no-show for this one. They are off back-to-back big road wins over Jacksonville State and Tennessee Tech, especially with Eastern Illinois on deck a team that is front of them in the standings by just a half-game. SEMO is hanging tough against big numbers, and Martin is caught in a void between big games. This spells a dog cover here. 

The Cal Bears are the surprise team in the Pac-10 this season as they sit at 15-3, and unblemished at home at 11-0. The monster margins they carried early in the season have certainly deflated with the onset of Pac-10 play. Oregon State plays a very methodical style that reduces the amount of possessions in a game. The result has been 13 of 15 opponents held in the 60s or less. That opens the door for a huge dog to hang close in what should be a low-scoring affair. The Golden Bears haven't been so golden coming off a three-game road trip, as the return to home has found their backers getting hammered to the tune of 1-8 ATS. The road team has cashed this game in six of the last seven, and this is just too many points in a low-scoring game. The Beavers hang around in this one.

Results: 4-2

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to read our 2008 college basketball gambling preivew here.
• Don't forget to read our college basketball sports book reviews here.
• Updated today: 2008 NCAA basketball prior pick season results.
• View NCAA basketball gambling philosophy here.
• Read our NCAA basketball Game-of-Day Analysis here.
• Hop over to our blog college basketball picks here.
• Check out free NCAA basketball predictions here.
• Don't forget to visit our college basketball odds.
• Check out our updated march madness brackets.
• Updated today: NCAA basketball ATS standings.
• Don't forget to read our ncaa march madness picks here.
• Don't forget to visit our NCAA basketball picks.

Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-21-2009
George Mason has rattled off six-straight wins and stand 7-0 in CAA play. The Huskies have been on the winning side of five of their last six, and have claimed wins at Providence and Indiana. The Husk...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-20-2009
Since the Boston College Eagles did the unthinkable - knocking off North Carolina, the team has just not been the same. They went out and lost their next game to Ivy League middle-of-the-pack Harvard,...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-18-2009
Two bad teams, both at 7-12  meet up here. The difference will be the location. Maris is 2-9 on the road. Loyola MD is nearly .500 at home. Even though they aren't very good, this Loyola team...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-17-2009
The South Florida Bulls went a longtime in the Big East without winning a road game, and they certainly haven't won very many since they became a member of the Big East. That reputation has caused...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-15-2009
Xavier is an A-10 team that has probably most resembled a Big East team over the last several years. They play gritty defense, and work the ball well on the offensive end. Rhode Island has had trouble...