We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: N. Illinois at Ball St. (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on N. Illinois +6

A match-up of a couple four win teams with each thinking they can steal one here. The problem for Ball St. has been horrible shooting as they are just 38% on the season and 38.7% at home. N. Illinois shoots almost 10% higher at 46.5%. N. Illinois likes to slow things down as they take less than 53 shots a game and with limited possessions, and anemic shooting, laying 6 is a lot to ask. We will ride the dog in this one.

Last year's Cinderella is finding the going a bit tougher this season. George Mason comes in just 9-7, facing a William & Mary team that has made strides this season at 10-6. It becomes a lot tougher when you become the marked game on everyone's schedule and William & Mary is much improved. William & Mary comes in off an upset loss of 15+ and good teams that have a winning percentage of .600+ are 42-13 ATS in this situation. We will back the live dog.

BYU has almost always put together a winning team. The one exception was a horrible 9-21 season in 04-05. They have had a winning season in every other year back to 98-99. Here are some remarkable eye-opening numbers, for what we consider to be the top home-court in College basketball. They have gone 98-5 at home and ATS they are 55-25, for 69%. They have won 60 of 79 by double digits or more. Wyoming has not come within this pointspread in 5 years. This season BYU is at it again. They are 6-3 ATS at home, 11-0 overall, and have nine wins by double digits. There is only one way to go in this one.

One would expect two top teams getting together would play a close game, but last year these teams exchanged blowouts. Texas won by 34 at home and Oklahoma by 21 at home. We like Oklahoma State here coming off a huge blowout loss at Kansas, to be extra focused for this one. Talented but youthful Texas has not met many challenges in a hostile environment yet and this will be a difficult task. Texas has a history of melting down on the road vs. very good teams. They have been just 1-9 ATS last two years vs teams outscoring their opponents by 4+.

Things have changed dramatically over the past few years. Air Force was two automatic wins for Utah virtually every year. Now it is Utah that is coming in with just five wins, and air Force is now the ranked team. There isn't much to say about Air Force except they have just one loss and shoot the lights out from every position on the court. There is not one or two players to defend. You have to defend the entire court and this Utah team just does not have the talent to compete in this one.