College Basketball Favorites - January 13, 2008

Our run continues as we went 9-5 yesterday for +8 units. We are now on a 61-31 run (66%) over the past three weeks, good for +46.1 units of profit!

WUNDERDOG 2008 RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	20-15 last 35 picks	57%	+$2110
CBB	61-31 last 92 picks	66%	+$4610
NBA	15-11 last 26 picks	58%	+$590
NHL	8-5 last 13 picks	62%	+$650
TOTAL			+$7960

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Manhattan at Niagara (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 149.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Niagara can score but Manhattan's defense is pretty good. Niagara chucks up 24 three-pointers per game, making 8 per game, which is where much of their scoring comes from. But, Manhattan is 10-1 UNDER int heir last eleven road games vs. teams that make 8+ three pointers per game. Niagara should score in the 70s here and we don't see Manhattan getting out of the 60s so we'll take the UNDER.

Syracuse had their six game winning streak halted last game in Cincinnati where they lost by 8 points in a game their were supposed to win. Now they must head to Morgantown to face a W. Virginia team that needs to win. The Mountaineers started off the season 10-1 and expectations were high. But, they have lost three of four games. This is a game they can, and should win. And they will be focused at the task at hand to avoid losing their fourth in five games. They are 7-1 at home outscoring opponents 88 to 59. Meanwhile, the Orange, despite a very good overall record, are just 2-2 on the road, giving up 76.5 ppg. The Mountaineers are 30-4 the past three seasons as a favorite.

The Red Foxes haven't lost at home this season, and have dominated, taking out six of their last seven visitors by double-digits. The Red Foxes are shooting 52.6% at home while allowing 38.9%. Those are numbers you expect to find of a team in the top 10. The Stags are shooting just 40% and allowing 46%, and we can't see them hanging around in this one. Marist is 7-3 ATS last ten at home while the Stags are struggling against teams with winning record, getting the money in just once in their last five. Maris is 9-2 ATS coming off a double-digit home win the past two seasons and we like them to win and cover here.

Alabama has proven worthy of this big spread, with a 7 point loss at Florida, 10 point set-back at Georgetown, and 13 point loss at A&M. Those are all better teams than the Razorbacks. The Tide is shooting well enough at 47.8% from field, and 38% from 3 to hang tough here. The Tide has taken care of the ball very well, with just 12.4 turnovers per game and an excellent assist-to-turnover ratio. The top three ballhandlers dishing out 157 assists with just 71 turnovers, better than 2 to 1 ratio. Four of the top five scorers are connecting on over 40% from three and that will make them a tough out here. Arkansas has had some meltdown games, with difficult to understand loss at home to Appalachian State, neutral court burial to Providence by 16, and a double-digit loss to Oklahoma. Decent teams like Auburn, Missouri and Baylor have stuck close. The numbers look good, but the answer is found in 17.5 turnovers commited a game, and negative assist to turnover margin as a team which costs them possessions and points. We like the Tide to battle them to the wire.

The Ducks are no joke at home where in the tough Pac-10 they face four to five very good teams a year at home. Here they have logged a 24-2 SU mark in their last 26 on the home-hardwood. They are one of the top shooting teams in the country at over 50%. The Cardinals have played well, but will get the stiffest road test to-date this season. Last season they failed miserably on the road going 3-6 SU and they are just 11-17 their last 28. The Cards biggest problem is vs the good teams, as they are 1-5 ATS last six vs teams that are .600+ at home. The Ducks are a cover machine in Pac-10, going 8-1 ATS last nine and overall are now 11-3-1 ATS last 15 home games. Oregon knocks off Stanford.

Denver is a team that doesn't score a lot of points but at home their offense is not awful (64 ppg). Arkansas Little Rock is scoring 74 ppg in conference games while allowing 70.5. Games with a total under 130 featuring a road team coming off a double-digit conference win facing a home team that has lost two straight to conference foes by double-digits have gone OVER 83% of the time the past five seasons. Little Rock is 6-0 themselves OVER on the road off a win over a conference rival the past three seasons. And, under head coach Joe Scott, Denver is 12-1 OVER coming off two straight losses to conference rivals.

Results: 5-2

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:

• View our updated NCAA basketball sportsbook reviews.
• Here we show our how to bet NCAA basketball.
• Updated today: ncaa bracket picks.
• Read our 2007 season college basketball gambling preivew here.
• View our updated college basketball Game Analysis.
• View 2007 college basketball prior pick season results here.
• Read our march madness bracket here.
• Read our NCAA basketball against-the-spread records here.
• Don't forget to visit our blog college basketball picks.
• Don't forget to read our college basketball picks here.
• Check out NCAA basketball record here.
• Check out our updated NCAA basketball odds and lines.

Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-12-2008
St. John's has shown its inexperience all season, occasionally putting together good stretches in games, but not 40 minutes. And they make too many unforced errors. All signs of a typical inexperi...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-11-2008
Niagara is coming off a 96 point performance while Siena is off a 52-point game. What gives here? We like this game to come in UNDER the lofty total. Niagara has the propensity to be an up-and-down te...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-10-2008
Five of the six games these teams have played over the past three seasons have gone OVER but we like this one to buck that trend. Hofstra is horrendous on the road, especially offensively. They are 0-...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-09-2008
Iowa is scoring just 58.5 ppg while turning the ball over 16.7 times per game. However, they have picked up their scoring since conference play began (63.5 per game) while falling down on the defensiv...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-08-2008
The Stags have just not gotten anything going on offense, as they shoot just over 40% on the season. That makes it tough to stay in games, especially when the defense allows 47% shooting and 38% from&...