We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Wisconsin-milwaukee at Cleveland St. (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Wisconsin-milwaukee +5

Something has to give in this one. Cleveland State is 6-11, but has dropped its last eight games to Division One opponents. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 0-8 on the road and obviously not the team they have been in the recent past. Cleveland State has been the door-mat in the Horizon Conference for several years and seeing them as a five-point favorite against anyone is laughable. Last weekend they played at Wisconsin-Green Bay and shot the lights out.  Hitting a sizzling 65.4% from the floor and connecting on 7-11 three-point shots to lead 44-31 at halftime. The team that came out in the second half was more like what we have seen the last several years from this team. They scored nine points on 3-20 shooting and 0-11 on three-point shots. Cleveland State went from a 13-point lead, to a double digit loser. We can't consider a play on them so we will back Wisconsin-Milwaukee to pick up their first road win.

Xavier stands at 11-4 and is certainly a favorite in the Atlantic 10 Conference. Fordham is an improved 8-6 but has not dropped a home game all season nor has Xavier won a true road game but the competition in those games is light years apart. Fordham has won six games at home over the bottom of NCAA teams and Xavier will be the best team to step on Fordham's court all season. Fordham shoots just 40% from the field and has scored less than 60-points in four of their last five games. Xavier only turned the ball over nine times in their most recent win over Temple and there is too much firepower on the floor here for a poor shooting Fordham team to stay in this one.

Samford will bring its 6-0 Ohio Valley Conference mark into tonight's contest to face Tennessee State. Samford has won three times on the OVC road already and Tennessee State is really struggling dropping four straight. Tennessee State was expected to be improved this year, with the return of Bruce Price who averaged 19.3-points per game (PPG), in six games before blowing out his knee. The recovery has been slow and his return is not expected until sometime in February. They also anticipated major contributions from Mississippi State transfer Jerrell Houston for eligibility issues, has left Tennessee State void of scorers, shooters and as a team they average a woeful 38% and rank #324 among all NCAA schools. Tennessee State has just five wins - all at home. The five wins are against schools that are a combined 6-37 on the road and the wins were by 2, 3, 3, 7 and 11-points. It will take something out-of-the-ordinary for this team to win a game. Towson shot 24% and only lost by 2. Prairie View (0-12 on the road) shot just 28%. Tennessee State shot way over their head at 50% over Ball Sate and 49% in a 3-point win over Southeast Missouri Sate. Samford is a much better team, much more disciplined and we expect them to go to 7-0 in the OVC tonight.