Basketball Free Gambling Ncaa Pick - January 10, 2008

After a poor Wednesday showing, we redeemed ourselves last night with a perfect 7-0 showing, boosting our record to 45-22 (67%) over the last three weeks. We have eight plays tonight...

WUNDERDOG 2008 RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	18-13 last 31 picks	58%	+$2150
CBB	45-22 last 67 picks	67%	+$3380
NBA	12-8 last 20 picks	60%	+$680
NHL	N/A	0%	($0)
TOTAL			+$6210

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Hofstra at N C Wilmington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 144 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Five of the six games these teams have played over the past three seasons have gone OVER but we like this one to buck that trend. Hofstra is horrendous on the road, especially offensively. They are 0-7, scoring just 60.6 ppg. Their defense is about average however so don't expect Wilmington to go crazy here offensively. Wilmington is in fact 3-1 to the UNDER at home this season. Yes Hofstra is bad, but it's on the offensive end, not defensive and this line is out of whack. Take the UNDER.

Cleveland State has won six of their last eight games and they have started out 3-0 in conference - the first time they have done that since the 1999 season. It's their best overall start at 11-4 since 1993. Detroit comes into this one with one problem after another. The most recent setback was the loss of their coach who is on a leave of absence for medical reasons. They have lost eight straight games, not having been able to recover from the loss of their leading scorer from last year. They are averaging just 59.8 ppg this year (52.6 over their last five games and 54.7 in conference games). Over the past three seasons, Detroit is just 7-20 vs. winning opponents and 2-14 vs. great teams (those outscoring opponents by 4+ ppg). We'll ride Cleveland State's momentum here and back them for a straight-up win.

North Texas scores, but much more at home than away. They are getting near 90 per game at homebut just 73.7 on teh road. Their defense has allowed 67 ppg their last five games. Arkansas State scores at home (76.7 per game) but they play awesome defense here, which is why they are 7-1 at home. On the season, they have allowed just 59.2 ppg at home. Only one opponent has reached the 70s while they have held three opponents in the 40s. North Texas will struggle offensively here which should keep this game UNDER.

Wisconsin-Milwaukee is on a roll having won five straight after starting their season 3-7. But, they come into the Lion's den here as Valpo has won 13 straight at home. This season they are pouring in 82.7 ppg at home, while allowing 59.3. That's a ridiculous 23.4 ppg winning margin. They are lights-out from beyond the arc, hitting 46.9% on the season and over 50% here at home. Not a good sign for Wisconsin-Milwaukee as they are 1-8 on the road vs. teams that hit 37%+ from three over the past three seasons. Valparaiso just too good to not win this one going away.

The Skyhawks are a team that certainly can put some points up, especially with Lester Hudson on the floor. Hudson is averaging 26.7 ppg on the season, good for second in the NCAA. Hudson isn't just a scorer as he also pulls down 7.5 rpg, has 64 assists, and has collected 58 steals. He is by far the best player on the floor here in this contest. He has a supporting cast in Robinson (13.5 ppg) and Weddle (15.8 ppg), so life will be difficult for the Panthers who net just 62.4 ppg, on a shooting percentage of 42. The Panthers offense not only has been awful, but last game they turned the ball over 22 times, and it is little wonder why they enter here at 2-13. The Panthers are also allowing over 40% from beyond the arc, and just don't have the defensive skills to play three legit-scorers. They also lack the firepower on the offensive end.

It's hard to find reason to back an Irvine team that shot 52.6% from beyond the arc in its last game and lost by double-digits. Cal Santa Barbara took the collar at home shooting 0-9 from deep in a 4 point loss. This is not the norm for this team, as they connect on 41.4% from three. Prior to their loss to Northridge, the only two blemishes on the Gaucho's record were administered by Stanford and NC. The Gaucho's are the odds-on favorite to win the conference, and good teams don't go on the road vs a very mediocre team and lose, period. UCSB can put some points up, and Irvine is allowing 49% FG shooting against them and 39% from three. Here we get a better team, hungry off a loss. The Gauchos should easily get the win here.

Sacramento State is in a tailspin. They have dropped five straight games including two straight losses by 20+ points. On the season they are 2-11, scoring just 63.6 ppg. Over their last five games they are shooting 38% from the field and scoring just 57.4 ppg while allowing 81.6 ppg! Montana State has won four of their last five games, hitting 50% from the field while holding opponents to 40% shooting. Sac State is now 5-12 the pat three seasons vs. winning teams. There's very little chance the buck all these trends and win tonight. We like Montana State on the moneyline.

Here we have a very high total despite having one team here scoring very little. Cal Poly is averaging just 63 ppg on the season, 61.6 on the road and 59.4 their last five games. Their defense is decent (69 per game overall and 65.4 over their last five games). Yes, Fullerton is a scoring machine. But asking this one to get to 153 is asking a ton of Fullerton. They will effectively shut down Cal Poly, likely keeping them in the 50s. We don't think Fullteron is going to put up 95+ here which is what would be required.

Results: 5-3

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Here we show our college basketball sports book.
• View our updated college basketball betting approach.
• Don't forget to read our ncaa march madness here.
• View 2007 NCAA basketball gambling preview here.
• View our updated NCAA basketball Game-of-Day-Preview.
• Check out 2007 NCAA basketball prior picks here.
• Here we show our ncaa bracket picks.
• Check out our updated NCAA basketball against-the-spread records.
• Take a look at our college basketball blog here.
• Don't forget to visit our free NCAA basketball picks.
• View our updated college basketball prior picks.
• View our updated college basketball odds lines and spreads.

Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-09-2008
Iowa is scoring just 58.5 ppg while turning the ball over 16.7 times per game. However, they have picked up their scoring since conference play began (63.5 per game) while falling down on the defensiv...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-08-2008
The Stags have just not gotten anything going on offense, as they shoot just over 40% on the season. That makes it tough to stay in games, especially when the defense allows 47% shooting and 38% from&...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-07-2008
Tennessee Martin is averaging just 41.8% from the field overall and 37.8% on the road. That kind of shooting can make for an off night and with a total this high, we'll look to the UNDER. The Skyh...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-06-2008
Pittsburgh sustained a pair of severe blows as Lavance Fields and Mike Cook have gone down with injuries. It's tough to go on the road in the Big East missing your playmaker and another ...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-05-2008
Syracuse is rolling right now having won five straight by an average score of 92.6 to 68.4. On the season they are 9-2 at home. To beat the Orange, you must keep up with their prolific scoring and S. ...