We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Nc Greensboro at Nc State (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Nc State -7.5

NC Greensboro has rattled off three wins in a row, but the competition is going to change tonight. Greensboro has beaten Furman, GA Southern, St. Peter's and Delaware. Those teams are a combined 17-31. NC State is 9-1 at home, the sole blemish coming from Alabama. The last eight times this NC Greensboro ventured on the road vs some top conference teams they have lost by 27, 33, 54, 22, 25, 32 and 35 points. Last year they played at NC State and lost by 31. We look for a comfortable double digit win by State.

This will be a matchup of two of the top teams in the MVC. Bradley will bring into this game a perfect home record, and has just one home defeat in their last 23 games, and that is a difficult trend to ignore in this contest. Missouri St. has a very good team, but they are just 3-3 outside their own building, and last year this team was not able to get a win on the MVC road vs the big 3, Bradley, Wichita St., and S. Ill. Bradley is yet another MVC venue that is extremely difficult to go into and get a win. The Braves are 38-18 ATS at home over the last 56, and we look for them to come out with the win tonight.

UCONN suffered its first loss of the season at W. Virginia but it was the first road test of the year for the Huskies, and first real test overall. S. Florida is not as bad as everyone may think they are, and this line is grossly inflated. S. Florida did not win a road game in the Big East all of last year, and only won seven games overall. But there is a set of unbelievable stats to show why this line is way off. S. Florida played the six best Big East teams on the road last year where they were an underdog of +11.5 to +18 at the highest. They covered all six games and had an average losing margin of just 6 points per game. It gets better. The last 41 times this team has gone on the road, they have played in some tough buildings including Louisville, Marquette, Cinn, DePaul, Syracuse, ND, Georgetown, WVA, and SC just to name a few. In those games they have lost just one time by more than 17 points! That is once in 41 or 2.4% of the time. It gets even better than that. S. Florida is 15-0 ATS as an underdog of 11 or in their last 15 covering several years. The bottom line here is win or lose, your just not going to find this kind of value in a single game. They have not lost by 17 this year home or away.